Department of Entomology and Wildlife Ecology, College of Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of Delaware, Newark, Delaware, United States of America.
Population Sustainability, San Diego Zoo Institute for Conservation Research, Escondido, California, United States of America.
PLoS One. 2018 Jun 27;13(6):e0198369. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0198369. eCollection 2018.
With the extirpation of tigers from the Indonesian island of Java in the 1980s, the endemic and Critically Endangered Javan leopard is the island's last remaining large carnivore. Yet despite this, it has received little conservation attention and its population status and distribution remains poorly known. Using Maxent modeling, we predicted the locations of suitable leopard landscapes throughout the island of Java based on 228 verified Javan leopard samples and as a function of seven environmental variables. The identified landscapes covered over 1 million hectares, representing less than 9% of the island. Direct evidence of Javan leopard was confirmed from 22 of the 29 identified landscapes and included all national parks, which our analysis revealed as the single most important land type. Our study also emphasized the importance of maintaining connectivity between protected areas and human-modified landscapes because adjacent production forests and secondary forests were found to provide vital extensions for several Javan leopard subpopulations. Our predictive map greatly improves those previously produced by the Government of Indonesia's Javan Leopard Action Plan and the IUCN global leopard distribution assessment. It shares only a 32% overlap with the IUCN range predictions, adds six new priority landscapes, all with confirmed presence of Javan leopard, and reveals an island-wide leopard population that occurs in several highly fragmented landscapes, which are far more isolated than previously thought. Our study provides reliable information on where conservation efforts must be prioritized both inside and outside of the protected area network to safeguard Java's last remaining large carnivore.
随着 20 世纪 80 年代老虎从印度尼西亚爪哇岛灭绝,当地特有的、极危的爪哇豹成为该岛仅剩的大型食肉动物。尽管如此,它几乎没有得到什么保护关注,其种群状况和分布情况仍然知之甚少。我们利用最大熵模型,根据 228 个已证实的爪哇豹样本和 7 个环境变量,预测了整个爪哇岛适合豹生存的景观位置。确定的景观覆盖了超过 100 万公顷,不到该岛的 9%。在 29 个确定的景观中有 22 个直接证实了有爪哇豹,其中包括所有国家公园,我们的分析表明,国家公园是最重要的单一土地类型。我们的研究还强调了在保护区和人为改造景观之间保持连通性的重要性,因为相邻的生产林和次生林被发现为几个爪哇豹亚种群提供了重要的延伸。我们的预测图大大改进了印度尼西亚政府的《爪哇豹行动计划》和国际自然保护联盟(IUCN)全球豹分布评估之前制作的地图。它与 IUCN 的范围预测只有 32%的重叠,增加了六个新的优先景观,都有爪哇豹的存在,还揭示了一个分布在整个岛屿的豹种群,这些豹生活在几个高度分散的景观中,其隔离程度比之前想象的要高得多。我们的研究为保护爪哇岛最后的大型食肉动物提供了可靠的信息,说明了在保护区网络内外,必须优先考虑在哪里开展保护工作。