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气候变化对中国六盘山国家级自然保护区豹栖息地的影响

Effects of Climate Change on the Habitat of the Leopard () in the Liupanshan National Nature Reserve of China.

作者信息

Zeng Jinyuan, Hu Jie, Shi Yurou, Li Yueqi, Guo Zhihong, Wang Shuanggui, Song Sen

机构信息

School of Life Sciences, Lanzhou University, No. 222 of South Tianshui Road, Lanzhou 730000, China.

Liupanshan National Nature Reserve Administration, Guyuan 756401, China.

出版信息

Animals (Basel). 2022 Jul 21;12(14):1866. doi: 10.3390/ani12141866.

Abstract

Climate change affects animal populations by affecting their habitats. The leopard population has significantly decreased due to climate change and human disturbance. We studied the impact of climate change on leopard habitats using infrared camera technology in the Liupanshan National Nature Reserve of Jingyuan County, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China, from July 2017 to October 2019. We captured 25 leopard distribution points over 47,460 camera working days. We used the MAXENT model to predict and analyze the habitat. We studied the leopard's suitable habitat area and distribution area under different geographical scales in the reserve. Changes in habitat area of leopards under the rcp2.6, rcp4.5, and rcp8.5 climate models in Guyuan in 2050 were also studied. We conclude that the current main factors affecting suitable leopard habitat area were vegetation cover and human disturbance. The most critical factor affecting future suitable habitat area is rainfall. Under the three climate models, the habitat area of the leopard decreased gradually because of an increase in carbon dioxide concentration. Through the prediction of the leopard's distribution area in the Liupanshan Nature Reserve, we evaluated the scientific nature of the reserve, which is helpful for the restoration and protection of the wild leopard population.

摘要

气候变化通过影响动物栖息地来影响动物种群。由于气候变化和人类干扰,豹的数量已显著减少。2017年7月至2019年10月,我们在中国宁夏回族自治区泾源县六盘山国家级自然保护区,利用红外相机技术研究了气候变化对豹栖息地的影响。在47460个相机工作日里,我们获取了25个豹的分布点。我们使用最大熵模型对栖息地进行预测和分析。我们研究了保护区内不同地理尺度下豹的适宜栖息地面积和分布区域。还研究了固原市在2050年rcp2.6、rcp4.5和rcp8.5气候模型下豹栖息地面积的变化。我们得出结论,当前影响豹适宜栖息地面积的主要因素是植被覆盖和人类干扰。影响未来适宜栖息地面积的最关键因素是降雨。在这三种气候模型下,由于二氧化碳浓度增加,豹的栖息地面积逐渐减少。通过对六盘山自然保护区豹分布区域的预测,我们评估了该保护区的科学性,这有助于野生豹种群的恢复和保护。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e999/9311780/81e351c3b3b4/animals-12-01866-g001.jpg

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