University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
Addiction. 2018 Oct;113(10):1768-1774. doi: 10.1111/add.14383. Epub 2018 Aug 9.
Variation in global estimates of the prevalence of injecting or opioid use from recent reports are partly explained by use of alternative information sources and value given to unreferenced country estimates; but also highlights a prevailing problem with the reporting and robustness of prevalence estimates. Unfortunately, there is no quick solution: we need investment both in ongoing information or surveillance of drug related harms and clinical and other interventions and in the implementation of more refined statistical methods to estimate prevalence.
全球最近报告中关于注射或阿片类药物使用流行率的估计值存在差异,部分原因是使用了替代信息来源和对未引用国家估计值的重视;但这也突出了报告和流行率估计值的稳健性方面存在的一个普遍问题。不幸的是,目前没有快速的解决方案:我们需要在药物相关危害的持续信息或监测、临床和其他干预措施以及更精细的统计方法实施方面进行投资,以估计流行率。