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不稳定的转型:南非前矿工的死亡率研究。

Precarious transition: a mortality study of South African ex-miners.

机构信息

Centre for Environmental and Occupational Health Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Observatory 7925, Cape Town, South Africa.

Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.

出版信息

BMC Public Health. 2018 Jul 11;18(1):862. doi: 10.1186/s12889-018-5749-2.


DOI:10.1186/s12889-018-5749-2
PMID:29996801
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6042385/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Despite their burden of a triple epidemic of silicosis, tuberculosis and HIV infection, little is known about the mortality experience of miners from the South African mining industry once they leave employment. Such information is important because of the size and dispersion of this population across a number of countries and the progressive nature of these diseases. METHODS: This study included 306,297 South African miners who left the industry during 2001-2013. The study aimed to calculate crude and standardised mortality rates, identify secular trends in mortality and model demographic and occupational risk factors for mortality. RESULTS: Crude mortality rates peaked in the first year after exit (32.8/1000 person-years), decreasing with each year from exit. Overall mortality was 20% higher than in the general population. Adjusted annual mortality halved over the 12 year period. Mortality predictors were being a black miner [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 3.30; 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.15-3.46]; underground work (aHR 1.33; 95% CI 1.28-1.39); and gold aHR 1.15 (95% CI 1.12-1.19) or multiple commodity employment (aHR 1.15; 95% CI 1.11-1.19). CONCLUSIONS: This is the first long-term mortality assessment in the large ex-miner population from the South African mining industry. Mortality patterns follow that of the national HIV-tuberculosis epidemic and antiretroviral treatment availability. However, ex-miners have further elevated mortality and a very high mortality risk in the year after leaving the workforce. Coordinated action between the mining industry, governments and non-governmental organisations is needed to reduce the impact of this precarious transition.

摘要

背景:尽管南非采矿业矿工面临矽肺、结核病和艾滋病毒感染三重流行的负担,但对于这些矿工一旦离开工作岗位后的死亡情况,人们知之甚少。由于该人群分布在多个国家,且人数众多、分布广泛,再加上这些疾病呈渐进性,因此了解这种情况非常重要。

方法:本研究纳入了 2001 年至 2013 年期间离开该行业的 306297 名南非矿工。该研究旨在计算矿工的粗死亡率和标准化死亡率,确定死亡率的长期趋势,并对人口统计学和职业风险因素进行建模。

结果:退出后第一年的粗死亡率(32.8/1000人年)达到峰值,随后每年下降。总的来说,矿工的死亡率比普通人群高 20%。经过 12 年的调整,矿工的年死亡率下降了一半。死亡预测因子为:黑人矿工(调整后的危险比[aHR]为 3.30;95%置信区间[95%CI]为 3.15-3.46);井下工作(aHR 为 1.33;95%CI 为 1.28-1.39);金矿(aHR 为 1.15;95%CI 为 1.12-1.19)或多种商品就业(aHR 为 1.15;95%CI 为 1.11-1.19)。

结论:这是南非采矿业庞大的前矿工群体的首次长期死亡率评估。死亡率模式与国家艾滋病毒/结核病流行和抗逆转录病毒治疗的可获得性一致。然而,前矿工在离开工作岗位后的第一年仍面临更高的死亡率和极高的死亡风险。采矿业、政府和非政府组织需要采取协调行动,以减轻这种不稳定过渡的影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/603d/6042385/fc373b4d26a5/12889_2018_5749_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/603d/6042385/fc373b4d26a5/12889_2018_5749_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/603d/6042385/fc373b4d26a5/12889_2018_5749_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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