Department of Physical Geography, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden.
Nature. 2018 Aug;560(7717):219-222. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0371-0. Epub 2018 Aug 1.
Atmospheric concentrations of carbon dioxide increased between the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM, around 21,000 years ago) and the preindustrial era. It is thought that the evolution of this atmospheric carbon dioxide (and that of atmospheric methane) during the glacial-to-interglacial transition was influenced by organic carbon that was stored in permafrost during the LGM and then underwent decomposition and release following thaw. It has also been suggested that the rather erratic atmospheric δC and ∆C signals seen during deglaciation could partly be explained by the presence of a large terrestrial inert LGM carbon stock, despite the biosphere being less productive (and therefore storing less carbon). Here we present an empirically derived estimate of the carbon stored in permafrost during the LGM by reconstructing the extent and carbon content of LGM biomes, peatland regions and deep sedimentary deposits. We find that the total estimated soil carbon stock for the LGM northern permafrost region is smaller than the estimated present-day storage (in both permafrost and non-permafrost soils) for the same region. A substantial decrease in the permafrost area from the LGM to the present day has been accompanied by a roughly 400-petagram increase in the total soil carbon stock. This increase in soil carbon suggests that permafrost carbon has made no net contribution to the atmospheric carbon pool since the LGM. However, our results also indicate potential postglacial reductions in the portion of the carbon stock that is trapped in permafrost, of around 1,000 petagrams, supporting earlier studies. We further find that carbon has shifted from being primarily stored in permafrost mineral soils and loess deposits during the LGM, to being roughly equally divided between peatlands, mineral soils and permafrost loess deposits today.
大气二氧化碳浓度在末次冰期(约 21000 年前)和工业化前时代之间增加。人们认为,在冰期到间冰期的转变过程中,大气二氧化碳(和甲烷)的演化受到在末次冰期储存在永久冻土中的有机碳的影响,随后在解冻后进行分解和释放。有人还提出,在冰川消退过程中看到的相当不稳定的大气 δC 和 ∆C 信号,部分可以用大量的惰性末次冰期碳库来解释,尽管生物圈的生产力较低(因此储存的碳较少)。在这里,我们通过重建末次冰期生物群落、泥炭地和深沉积矿床的范围和碳含量,对末次冰期永久冻土中储存的碳进行了经验推导的估计。我们发现,末次冰期北永久冻土区估计的土壤碳储量总和小于同一地区目前(在永久冻土和非永久冻土土壤中)的估计储存量。与末次冰期相比,永久冻土区的面积大幅减少,而总土壤碳储量增加了约 400 千兆吨。土壤碳的增加表明,自末次冰期以来,永久冻土碳对大气碳库没有做出净贡献。然而,我们的结果也表明,在冰川消退后,被困在永久冻土中的碳储量可能会减少约 1000 千兆吨,这与早期的研究结果一致。我们进一步发现,碳的储存位置已经从末次冰期主要储存在永久冻土矿物土壤和黄土沉积物中,转变为今天大致平均分布在泥炭地、矿物土壤和永久冻土黄土沉积物中。