Różyło-Kalinowska Ingrid, Kalinowski Paweł, Kozek Magdalena, Galić Ivan, Cameriere Roberto
Independent Unit of Propaedeutics of Dentomaxillofacial Radiology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Independent Unit of Epidemiology, Medical University of Lublin, Poland.
Forensic Sci Int. 2018 Sep;290:352.e1-352.e6. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2018.06.034. Epub 2018 Jul 3.
This study aimed to assess the application of Cameriere's third molar maturity index (I) to select an individual of 18years or older (adult) from younger than 18years (minor) in a sample of Polish individuals. The final sample of 982 panoramic images aged between 15 to 24years was analyzed. The specific cut-off value of I<0.08 was analyzed. The specificity (Sp) and sensitivity (Se) for males were 91.2% and 86.2% respectively. The Sp and Se for females were 93% and 82.6% respectively. The probabilities of correctly classified individuals were 87.6% and 85.3%, and Bayes post-test probability was 96.3% and 97% in males and females respectively. Further analysis indicated the alternative cut-off value of I<0.07, which improved the specificity, 95.3%, and 94.7%, and worsen correct classification, 86.5%, and 84.4%, in males and females, respectively. Our results showed that the specific cut-off point of I<0.08 may be a useful tool for discriminating adults from minors in Poland.
本研究旨在评估卡梅里埃第三磨牙成熟度指数（I）在波兰人群样本中区分18岁及以上成年人与18岁以下未成年人的应用情况。分析了最终包含982张年龄在15至24岁之间全景图像的样本。分析了I<0.08的特定临界值。男性的特异性（Sp）和敏感性（Se）分别为91.2%和86.2%。女性的Sp和Se分别为93%和82.6%。男性和女性正确分类个体的概率分别为87.6%和85.3%，贝叶斯检验后概率分别为96.3%和97%。进一步分析表明，I<0.07的替代临界值提高了特异性，男性为95.3%，女性为94.7%，但正确分类率分别降至男性86.5%和女性84.4%。我们的结果表明，I<0.08的特定临界点可能是波兰区分成年人与未成年人的有用工具。
