Division of Nephrology, Virginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine, Richmond, VA, USA.
Hume-Lee Transplant Center, Virginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine, Richmond, VA, USA.
Am J Transplant. 2018 Oct;18(10):2496-2505. doi: 10.1111/ajt.15054. Epub 2018 Aug 30.
Pilot studies suggest that transplanting hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive donor (D+) kidneys into HCV-negative renal transplant (RT) recipients (R-), then treating HCV with direct-acting antivirals (DAA) is clinically feasible. To determine whether this is a cost-effective approach, a decision tree model was developed to analyze costs and effectiveness over a 5-year time frame between 2 choices: RT using a D+/R- strategy compared to continuing dialysis and waiting for a HCV-negative donor (D-/R-). The strategy of accepting a HCV+ organ then treating HCV was slightly more effective and substantially less expensive and resulted in an expected 4.8 years of life (YOL) with a cost of ≈$138 000 compared to an expected 4.7 YOL with a cost of ≈$329 000 for the D-/R- strategy. The D+/R- strategy remained dominant after sensitivity analyses including the difference in RT death probabilities or acute rejection probabilities between using D+ vs D- kidney; time that D-/R- patients waited for RT; dialysis death probabilities while waitlisted for RT in the D-/R- strategy; DAA therapy expected cure rate; costs of transplant, immunosuppressives, DAA therapy, dialysis, or acute rejection. The D+/R- strategy followed by treatment with DAA is less costly and slightly more effective compared to the D-/R- strategy.
初步研究表明,将丙型肝炎病毒 (HCV) 阳性供体 (D+) 肾脏移植到 HCV 阴性肾移植 (RT) 受者 (R-) 体内,然后用直接作用抗病毒药物 (DAA) 治疗 HCV 在临床上是可行的。为了确定这是否是一种具有成本效益的方法,开发了一个决策树模型,以在 5 年的时间内分析两种选择之间的成本和效果:使用 D+/R-策略进行 RT 与继续透析并等待 HCV 阴性供体 (D-/R-) 之间的比较。接受 HCV+器官然后治疗 HCV 的策略效果略好,成本明显降低,预计寿命为 4.8 年(YOL),成本约为 138,000 美元,而 D-/R-策略的预计寿命为 4.7 年,成本约为 329,000 美元。在包括 RT 死亡率或使用 D+ vs D-肾脏的急性排斥概率差异、D-/R-患者等待 RT 的时间、D-/R-策略中等待 RT 时的透析死亡率、DAA 治疗的预期治愈率、移植、免疫抑制剂、DAA 治疗、透析或急性排斥的成本等敏感性分析后,D+/R-策略仍然具有优势。与 D-/R-策略相比,D+/R-策略随后用 DAA 治疗的成本更低,效果略好。