Peter Munk Cardiac Center, Division of Cardiology, Toronto General Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Terrence Donnelly Heart Centre, St. Michael's Hospital, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada.
Am J Cardiol. 2018 Oct 15;122(8):1421-1428. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2018.07.007. Epub 2018 Jul 19.
Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HC) is a heterogenous disease with a variable clinical course. Predictors of long-term adverse cardiovascular events are needed. Our objectives were to determine the long-term prognostic value of a single and serial point of care (POC) B-type natriuretic-peptide (BNP) measurements in HC. One hundred and eleven ambulatory patients with HC (mean age 53 ± 16 years) were prospectively recruited over a 2-year period (2004 to 2006). A clinical assessment, comprehensive echocardiogram, and a POC BNP level was obtained at baseline and at a 1- to 2-year follow-up. They were subsequently followed for the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE). The median baseline BNP concentration was 114 pg/ml (range 5.3 to 1550 pg/ml). During a mean follow-up of 6.2 ± 3.4 years, 42 patients (38%) had a MACE. In a multivariable Cox model including clinical and echocardiographic predictors, logBNP (HR 4.30; 95% confidence interval 1.97 to 9.37, p <0.001) and left ventricualr ejection fraction (LVEF) (HR 0.96; 95% confidence interval 0.94 to 0.99, p = 0.011) remained significant predictors of MACE. Nested models demonstrated incremental prognostic value of logBNP for MACE (chi-square increased from 4.3 to 22.8, p <0.01) over clinical and echocardiographic factors. Patients with persistently elevated BNP (>100 pg/ml) at baseline and at the second visit were at a higher risk of developing MACE during follow-up (5-year MACE-free survival of 0.91 (SE 0.06) vs 0.45 (SE 0.09), p <0.001). In conclusion, POC BNP levels in patients with HC were predictive of long-term MACE and had independent and incremental value. Patients with persistently elevated BNP levels were at a higher risk of MACE.
肥厚型心肌病(HC)是一种临床表现多样的异质性疾病。需要预测长期不良心血管事件的发生。我们的目的是确定单次和连续即时检测(POC)B 型利钠肽(BNP)测量在 HC 中的长期预后价值。
111 名门诊 HC 患者(平均年龄 53±16 岁)在 2 年期间(2004 年至 2006 年)前瞻性招募。基线时和 1 至 2 年随访时进行临床评估、全面超声心动图和 POC BNP 水平检测。随后对主要不良心脏事件(MACE)的发生情况进行随访。
中位基线 BNP 浓度为 114pg/ml(范围 5.3 至 1550pg/ml)。在平均 6.2±3.4 年的随访期间,42 名患者(38%)发生 MACE。在包含临床和超声心动图预测因素的多变量 Cox 模型中,logBNP(HR 4.30;95%置信区间 1.97 至 9.37,p<0.001)和左心室射血分数(LVEF)(HR 0.96;95%置信区间 0.94 至 0.99,p=0.011)仍然是 MACE 的显著预测因素。嵌套模型显示,logBNP 对 MACE 的预后价值具有增量预测价值(卡方从 4.3 增加到 22.8,p<0.01),超过了临床和超声心动图因素。
在基线和第二次就诊时 BNP 持续升高(>100pg/ml)的患者在随访期间发生 MACE 的风险更高(5 年无 MACE 生存率为 0.91(SE 0.06)与 0.45(SE 0.09),p<0.001)。
总之,HC 患者的即时检测 BNP 水平可预测长期 MACE,具有独立和增量价值。BNP 水平持续升高的患者发生 MACE 的风险更高。