Center for Hematologic Malignancies, Knight Cancer Institute, Oregon Health and Science University, Portland, Oregon.
Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research, Department of Medicine, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin.
Biol Blood Marrow Transplant. 2018 Dec;24(12):2443-2449. doi: 10.1016/j.bbmt.2018.08.013. Epub 2018 Aug 22.
The Revised International Staging System (R-ISS) and the International Myeloma Working Group 2014 (IMWG 2014) are newer staging systems used to prognosticate multiple myeloma (MM) outcomes. We hypothesized that these would provide better prognostic differentiation for newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) compared with ISS. We analyzed the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research database from 2008 to 2014 to compare the 3 systems (N = 628) among newly diagnosed MM patients undergoing upfront autologous hematopoietic cell transplantation (AHCT). The median follow-up of survivors was 48 (range, 3 to 99) months. The R-ISS provided the greatest differentiation between survival curves for each stage (for overall survival [OS], the differentiation was 1.74 using the R-ISS, 1.58 using ISS, and 1.60 using the IMWG 2014) . Univariate analyses at 3 years for OS showed R-ISS I at 88% (95% confidence interval [CI], 83% to 93%), II at 75% (95% CI, 70% to 80%), and III at 56% (95% CI, 3% to 69%; P < .001). An integrated Brier score function demonstrated the R-ISS had the best prediction for PFS, though all systems had similar prediction for OS. Among available systems, the R-ISS is the most optimal among available prognostic tools for newly diagnosed MM undergoing AHCT. We recommend that serum lactate dehydrogenase and cytogenetic data be performed on every MM patient at diagnosis to allow accurate prognostication.
修订后的国际分期系统(R-ISS)和国际骨髓瘤工作组 2014 年(IMWG 2014 年)是用于预测多发性骨髓瘤(MM)结局的较新的分期系统。我们假设,与 ISS 相比,这些系统将为新诊断的多发性骨髓瘤(MM)提供更好的预后分层。我们分析了 2008 年至 2014 年期间国际血液和骨髓移植研究中心的数据库,以比较正在接受一线自体造血细胞移植(AHCT)的新诊断 MM 患者中使用的 3 种系统(N=628)。幸存者的中位随访时间为 48 个月(范围为 3 至 99 个月)。R-ISS 为每个分期的生存曲线提供了最大的区分度(对于总生存期[OS],使用 R-ISS 的区分度为 1.74,ISS 为 1.58,IMWG 2014 为 1.60)。3 年时的 OS 单变量分析显示,R-ISS I 期为 88%(95%置信区间[CI],83%至 93%),II 期为 75%(95% CI,70%至 80%),III 期为 56%(95% CI,3%至 69%;P<0.001)。综合 Brier 评分函数表明,R-ISS 对 PFS 的预测最佳,尽管所有系统对 OS 的预测均相似。在现有的系统中,R-ISS 是新诊断的接受 AHCT 的 MM 患者最理想的预后工具。我们建议对每个 MM 患者在诊断时进行血清乳酸脱氢酶和细胞遗传学检查,以进行准确的预后预测。