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基于三角模糊理论的银川平原潜水水质健康风险评价

Health risk assessment of phreatic water based on triangular fuzzy theory in Yinchuan plain.

机构信息

Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China; College of New Energy and Environemt, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China.

Key Laboratory of Groundwater Resources and Environment Ministry of Education, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China; College of New Energy and Environemt, Jilin University, Changchun 130021, PR China.

出版信息

Ecotoxicol Environ Saf. 2018 Nov 30;164:732-738. doi: 10.1016/j.ecoenv.2018.08.036. Epub 2018 Aug 31.

Abstract

Groundwater quality relating closely to human health has become a great concern to the whole society, especially in heavily polluted areas. Yinchuan Plain, located in the arid and semi-arid region of Northwestern China, where people rely heavily on groundwater resource. However, due to the improper groundwater exploitation and negative effect of human activities in recent years, groundwater quality in Yinchuan plain become deteriorated. For the sustainable utilization and protection of groundwater resources, health risk assessment (HRA) of phreatic water is conducted in this paper. On the basis of model recommended by EPA, triangular fuzzy number is applied to establish risk assessment model for health risk assessment of adults and children in wet and dry seasons, respectively. Results of HRA indicate that carcinogenic risk of arsenic is highest among the risk from components in phreatic water, and the highest risk from arsenic to adults and children in wet and dry season are 6.48 × 10a and 9.56 × 10a, 1.08 × 10a and 1.59 × 10a, respectively. This study also states that in Yinchuan Plain carcinogenic risk from drinking groundwater can be 3-4 times magnitude higher than the noncarcinogenic risk. Also it is found that the health risk to children is as 1.5-2 times as to adults, while the uncertainties of adults' health risk are higher than that of children.

摘要

与人类健康密切相关的地下水质量已成为全社会关注的焦点,尤其是在污染严重的地区。银川平原位于中国西北干旱半干旱地区,人们高度依赖地下水资源。然而,由于近年来地下水开采不当和人类活动的负面影响,银川平原的地下水水质恶化。为了实现地下水资源的可持续利用和保护,本文对潜水进行了健康风险评估(HRA)。本文在 EPA 推荐模型的基础上,采用三角模糊数分别建立了成人和儿童在湿季和干季健康风险评估模型。HRA 的结果表明,砷在潜水组分中的致癌风险最高,在湿季和干季砷对成人和儿童的最高风险分别为 6.48×10a 和 9.56×10a、1.08×10a 和 1.59×10a。本研究还表明,在银川平原,饮用地下水的致癌风险是无致癌风险的 3-4 倍。此外,研究还发现,儿童的健康风险是成人的 1.5-2 倍,而成人健康风险的不确定性高于儿童。

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