Zhong Peirong, Huang Shichun, Zhang Xiaotong, Wu Simin, Zhu Yaohui, Li Yang, Ma Lu
1Department of Healthcare Management, School of Health Sciences, Wuhan University, 115 Donghu Road, Wuchang District, Wuhan, 430071 China.
Hubei Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, 6 Zhuodaoquan North Road, Hongshan District, Wuhan, 430079 China.
Glob Health Res Policy. 2018 Sep 6;3:27. doi: 10.1186/s41256-018-0080-0. eCollection 2018.
Ambient air pollution has posed negative effects on human health. Individual-level factors may modify this effect, but previous studies have controversial conclusions, and evidence is lacking especially in developing countries. This study aims to examine the modifying effects of sex, age, and education level of individuals on the associated between daily mortality and air pollutants, including particulate matter < 10 μm in aerodynamic diameter (PM), sulfur dioxide (SO), and nitrogen dioxide (NO).
Time-series analysis was conducted to investigate the acute effects of the air pollution on daily mortality from January 2002 to December 2010 in Wuhan, China. Generalized Additive Models (GAM) were used to examine the association stratified by sex for non-accidental, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality. For non-accidental mortality, stratified analysis was also conducted by age and educational level.
Outdoor air pollution was associated with daily non-accidental and cardiovascular mortality. An increase of 10 μg/m in a 2-day average concentration of PM, SO, and NO was corresponding to the increase in non-accidental mortality of 0.29% (95%CI: 0.06-0.53%), 1.22% (95%CI: 0.77-1.67%) and 1.60% (95%CI: 1.00-2.19%), respectively. The effects of air pollution were faster in females than males. The magnitude of the estimates was higher for females with low education, aged 65-75 years for PM and < 65 years for SO. To be more specific, we observed that per 10 μg/m increase in SO was association with increases in non-accidental mortality of 2.03% (95%CI: 1.38-2.67) for all females and 3.10% (95%CI: 2.05-4.16) for females with low education.
Females and people with low-education are more susceptible to the effect of air pollution, which would provide a sound scientific basis for determination of air pollution standards.
环境空气污染已对人类健康产生负面影响。个体层面的因素可能会改变这种影响,但先前的研究结论存在争议,尤其是在发展中国家,相关证据不足。本研究旨在探讨个体的性别、年龄和教育水平对每日死亡率与空气污染物(包括空气动力学直径小于10μm的颗粒物(PM)、二氧化硫(SO)和二氧化氮(NO))之间关联的修饰作用。
采用时间序列分析方法,研究2002年1月至2010年12月中国武汉市空气污染对每日死亡率的急性影响。使用广义相加模型(GAM)来检验非意外、心血管和呼吸系统死亡率按性别分层的关联。对于非意外死亡率,还按年龄和教育水平进行了分层分析。
室外空气污染与每日非意外和心血管死亡率相关。PM、SO和NO的2天平均浓度每增加10μg/m³,分别对应非意外死亡率增加0.29%(95%置信区间:0.06 - 0.53%)、1.22%(95%置信区间:0.77 - 1.67%)和1.60%(95%置信区间:1.00 - 2.19%)。空气污染对女性的影响比对男性更快。对于教育程度低的女性,PM在65 - 75岁、SO在65岁以下时估计值的幅度更高。更具体地说,我们观察到,SO每增加10μg/m³,所有女性的非意外死亡率增加2.03%(95%置信区间:1.38 - 2.67),教育程度低的女性增加3.10%(95%置信区间:2.05 - 4.16)。
女性和低教育程度人群更容易受到空气污染的影响,这将为确定空气污染标准提供可靠的科学依据。