Lardén Martin, Nordén Elisabeth, Forsman Mats, Långström Niklas
Swedish Prison and Probation Service, Norrköping, Sweden.
Department of Clinical Neuroscience, Karolinska Institute, Stockholm, Sweden.
Crim Behav Ment Health. 2018 Dec;28(6):476-491. doi: 10.1002/cbm.2092. Epub 2018 Oct 16.
Aggression replacement training (ART) is a widely used cognitive behavioural intervention for reducing aggression-related recidivism among criminal offenders. Its effectiveness in reducing offending, however, remains uncertain.
To examine the effect of ART on adult offenders' criminal recidivism rates.
We compared 1,124 convicted adult offenders who began ART in the Swedish Prison and Probation Services 2003-2009 with 3,372 offenders in the system at the same time who did not participate in ART. Linkage with nationwide, longitudinal registries allowed extensive propensity score-matched controlling for baseline differences (e.g. sociodemographics, criminal history, psychiatric morbidity, and substance misuse) between groups.
Intent-to-treat analyses suggested similar 1-year general reconviction rates (according to the National Crime Register) between the two groups (ART participants 50% [n = 465]: comparison participants 51% [n = 1,492]; hazard ratio [HR] = 0.97, 95% CI [0.88, 1.07]) and similar one-year violent recidivism (ART participants 19% [n = 174]: comparison participants 18% [n = 547]; HR = 1.02, 95% CI [0.89, 1.17]). For ART completers, findings suggested a marginal decrease in reconvictions for any recidivism, but not for violent recidivism specifically. Sensitivity analyses yielded similar results.
Our findings add to the emerging literature suggesting no effect of ART on reoffending among adult offenders. Originally designed for adolescents, it may be that the programme should include components for more adult-specific needs. Further, although group differences in reoffending did not emerge, research with a wider range of outcomes may be worthwhile before abandoning this approach with offenders.
攻击性替代训练(ART)是一种广泛应用的认知行为干预方法,用于降低犯罪者中与攻击行为相关的再犯率。然而,其在减少犯罪方面的有效性仍不确定。
研究攻击性替代训练对成年罪犯再犯率的影响。
我们将2003年至2009年在瑞典监狱及缓刑服务机构开始接受攻击性替代训练的1124名成年罪犯与同期系统内未参与该训练的3372名罪犯进行了比较。通过与全国性纵向登记处的数据关联,对两组之间的基线差异(如社会人口统计学特征、犯罪史、精神疾病发病率和药物滥用情况)进行了广泛的倾向得分匹配控制。
意向性分析表明,两组之间的1年总体再定罪率(根据国家犯罪登记册)相似(接受攻击性替代训练的参与者为50%[n = 465]:比较参与者为51%[n = 1492];风险比[HR]=0.97,95%置信区间[CI][0.88, 1.07]),1年暴力再犯率也相似(接受攻击性替代训练的参与者为19%[n = 174]:比较参与者为18%[n = 547];HR = 1.02,95%CI[0.89, 1.17])。对于完成攻击性替代训练的人,研究结果表明,任何类型再犯的再定罪率略有下降,但暴力再犯率没有明显下降。敏感性分析得出了相似的结果。
我们的研究结果进一步表明,攻击性替代训练对成年罪犯的再犯行为没有影响。该方案最初是为青少年设计的,可能需要加入针对成年人特定需求的内容。此外,尽管在再犯方面未发现组间差异,但在放弃对罪犯采用这种方法之前,进行更广泛结果的研究可能是有价值的。