Institute of Translational Medicine, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, United Kingdom;
Alder Hey Children's Hospital, Liverpool, United Kingdom.
Pediatrics. 2018 Nov;142(5). doi: 10.1542/peds.2018-1067. Epub 2018 Oct 22.
: media-1vid110.1542/5828355774001PEDS-VA_2018-1067 BACKGROUND: Slipped capital femoral epiphysis (SCFE) is believed to be associated with childhood obesity, although the strength of the association is unknown.
We performed a cohort study using routine data from health screening examinations at primary school entry (5-6 years old) in Scotland, linked to a nationwide hospital admissions database. A subgroup had a further screening examination at primary school exit (11-12 years old).
BMI was available for 597 017 children at 5 to 6 years old in school and 39 468 at 11 to 12 years old. There were 4.26 million child-years at risk for SCFE. Among children with obesity at 5 to 6 years old, 75% remained obese at 11 to 12 years old. There was a strong biological gradient between childhood BMI at 5 to 6 years old and SCFE, with the risk of disease increasing by a factor of 1.7 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.5-1.9) for each integer increase in BMI score. The risk of SCFE was almost negligible among children with the lowest BMI. Those with severe obesity at 5 to 6 years old had 5.9 times greater risk of SCFE (95% CI 3.9-9.0) compared with those with a normal BMI; those with severe obesity at 11 to 12 years had 17.0 times the risk of SCFE (95% CI 5.9-49.0).
High childhood BMI is strongly associated with SCFE. The magnitude of the association, temporal relationship, and dose response added to the plausible mechanism offer the strongest evidence available to support a causal association.
slipped capital femoral epiphysis (SCFE) 被认为与儿童肥胖有关,但这种关联的强度尚不清楚。
我们进行了一项队列研究,使用苏格兰小学入学(5-6 岁)健康筛查检查的常规数据,并与全国性的医院入院数据库相关联。一个亚组在小学毕业(11-12 岁)时进行了进一步的筛查检查。
5 至 6 岁时,597017 名儿童的 BMI 可用于学校,39468 名儿童的 BMI 可用于 11 至 12 岁。有 426 万儿童面临 SCFE 的风险。在 5 至 6 岁肥胖的儿童中,75%在 11 至 12 岁时仍肥胖。儿童在 5 至 6 岁时的 BMI 与 SCFE 之间存在很强的生物学梯度,疾病风险增加了 1.7 倍(95%置信区间 [CI] 1.5-1.9),BMI 得分每增加一个整数。在 BMI 最低的儿童中,SCFE 的风险几乎可以忽略不计。与 BMI 正常的儿童相比,5 至 6 岁时患有严重肥胖症的儿童发生 SCFE 的风险高 5.9 倍(95% CI 3.9-9.0);11 至 12 岁时患有严重肥胖症的儿童发生 SCFE 的风险高 17.0 倍(95% CI 5.9-49.0)。
儿童 BMI 高与 SCFE 密切相关。这种关联的强度、时间关系和剂量反应,加上合理的机制,提供了支持因果关系的最强证据。