Department of Cardiology, Herlev & Gentofte Hospital (D.M., S.R.B.-S., R.M., J.S.J., T.B.-S.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences (J.S.J.), University of Copenhagen, Denmark.
Circ Cardiovasc Imaging. 2018 Oct;11(10):e007528. doi: 10.1161/CIRCIMAGING.117.007528.
Cardiovascular death (CVD) is a leading cause of death and constitutes a major burden on society. Left ventricular mechanical dyssynchrony (LVMD), evaluated as SD of time to peak regional longitudinal strain, is a capable predictor of many cardiovascular outcomes related to CVD, including ventricular arrhythmias, but the prognostic utility of LVMD in the general population is unknown. Hence, this study sought to determine the prognostic value of LVMD in the general population in predicting CVD.
A total of 1138 participants underwent a general health examination and an echocardiographic examination including speckle tracking analysis with subsequent calculation of LVMD from time-to-peak regional strain. Primary end point was CVD, and secondary end point was noncardiovascular death. Follow-up was 100%. During a median follow-up of 11.1 years (interquartile range: 10.2-11.3 years), 62 participants suffered CVD (5.5%) while 131 participants experienced noncardiovascular death (11.5%). LVMD was an independent predictor of CVD (subdistribution hazard ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.01-1.06; P=0.004, per 10-ms increase) in competing risk regression treating noncardiovascular death as a competing risk and retained prognostic capability after extensive multivariable adjustment. LVMD was not a significant predictor of noncardiovascular death. LVMD added incremental prognostic information in predicting CVD beyond the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation risk chart and a modified version of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Pooled Cohort Equation.
Left ventricular mechanical dyssynchrony adds incremental prognostic information in addition to established risk factors in prediction of CVD in individuals from the general population without atrial fibrillation and significant valvular disease.
心血管死亡(CVD)是主要死因,也是社会的主要负担。左心室机械不同步(LVMD),通过测量各节段达峰时间标准差评估,是多种与 CVD 相关心血管结局的有力预测因子,包括室性心律失常,但 LVMD 在普通人群中的预后作用尚不清楚。因此,本研究旨在确定普通人群中 LVMD 预测 CVD 的预后价值。
共 1138 名参与者接受了一般健康检查和超声心动图检查,包括斑点追踪分析,随后计算 LVMD 从节段达峰时间应变。主要终点为 CVD,次要终点为非心血管死亡。中位随访时间为 11.1 年(四分位距:10.2-11.3 年),62 名参与者发生 CVD(5.5%),131 名参与者发生非心血管死亡(11.5%)。在处理非心血管死亡为竞争风险的竞争风险回归中,LVMD 是 CVD 的独立预测因子(亚分布危险比,1.04;95%置信区间,1.01-1.06;P=0.004,每增加 10ms),并且在广泛的多变量调整后保留了预后能力。LVMD 不是非心血管死亡的显著预测因子。LVMD 在预测 CVD 方面除了系统冠状动脉风险评估风险图和美国心脏病学会/美国心脏协会改良版预测方程外,还提供了额外的预后信息。
在没有房颤和明显瓣膜病的普通人群中,LVMD 在预测 CVD 方面除了确定的危险因素外,还提供了额外的预后信息。