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2000 - 2010年美国痴呆症死亡率的时空聚集性检测

Detecting spatiotemporal clusters of dementia mortality in the United States, 2000-2010.

作者信息

Xu Wei, Wu Changshan

机构信息

Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, USA.

出版信息

Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2018 Nov;27:11-20. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2018.07.001. Epub 2018 Jul 19.

Abstract

Based on national death certificate data during 2000 and 2010, we employed the space-time scan statistic to identify spatiotemporal clusters of dementia mortality in the contiguous United States. Results revealed that, for both Alzheimer's disease and all-cause dementia mortality in the total population, the most likely clusters occurred in the Northeast region, with lower than average relative risk. The most likely excess mortality clusters were in the Pacific Northwest and Ohio River Valley and Carolinas. Temporal information of clusters suggested reduction in the relative risk of Alzheimer's disease and all-cause dementia mortality in most of the highly likely clusters. The results should propel public health agencies to evaluate the capacity of local health and social care to meet dementia patients' needs before death in the high-risk cluster areas. Further investigation of causal factors of these clusters is needed.

摘要

基于2000年至2010年期间的国家死亡证明数据,我们运用时空扫描统计法来识别美国本土痴呆症死亡率的时空聚集区。结果显示,对于总人口中的阿尔茨海默病和全因痴呆症死亡率而言,最可能的聚集区出现在东北地区,相对风险低于平均水平。最可能出现超额死亡率的聚集区位于太平洋西北部、俄亥俄河谷和卡罗来纳州。聚集区的时间信息表明,在大多数极有可能的聚集区,阿尔茨海默病和全因痴呆症死亡率的相对风险有所降低。这些结果应促使公共卫生机构在高风险聚集区评估当地卫生和社会护理机构在痴呆症患者死前满足其需求的能力。需要进一步调查这些聚集区的因果因素。

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