van der Waal Jeroen, de Koster Willem
Department of Public Administration and Sociology, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.
Polit Stud (Oxf). 2018 Aug;66(3):560-576. doi: 10.1177/0032321717723505. Epub 2017 Nov 10.
Leftist and rightist populist parties in Western Europe both oppose trade openness. Is support for economic protectionism also relevant for their electorates? We assess this in the Netherlands, where both types of populist parties have seats in parliament. Analyses of representative survey data ( = 1,296) demonstrate that support for protectionism drives voting for such parties, as do the well-established determinants of political distrust (both populist constituencies), economic egalitarianism (leftist populist constituency) and ethnocentrism (rightist populist constituency). Surprisingly, support for protectionism does not mediate the relationship between economic egalitarianism and voting for left-wing populists, or the link between political distrust and voting for either left-wing or right-wing populist parties. In contrast, support for protectionism partly mediates the association between ethnocentrism and voting for right-wing populists. We discuss the largely independent role of protectionism in populist voting in relation to the cultural cleavage in politics and electoral competition, and also provide suggestions for future research.
西欧的左翼和右翼民粹主义政党都反对贸易开放。对经济保护主义的支持对其选民来说也有影响吗？我们在荷兰对此进行评估，在该国这两类民粹主义政党在议会中都拥有席位。对代表性调查数据（n = 1296）的分析表明，对保护主义的支持推动了对这类政党的投票，政治不信任（两类民粹主义选民群体）、经济平等主义（左翼民粹主义选民群体）和种族中心主义（右翼民粹主义选民群体）这些既定的决定因素也起到了同样的作用。令人惊讶的是，对保护主义的支持并未调节经济平等主义与投票给左翼民粹主义政党之间的关系，也未调节政治不信任与投票给左翼或右翼民粹主义政党之间的联系。相比之下，对保护主义的支持部分调节了种族中心主义与投票给右翼民粹主义政党之间的关联。我们讨论了保护主义在民粹主义投票中相对于政治文化分裂和选举竞争所起的基本独立作用，并为未来研究提供了建议。
