Zegeye Elias Asfaw, Mbonigaba Josue, Dimbuene Zacharie Tsala
School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, Economics Department, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa.
Clinton Health Access Initiative, Health Care Financing Program, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
BMC Womens Health. 2018 Nov 19;18(1):187. doi: 10.1186/s12905-018-0679-9.
Prevention of Mother-to-Child HIV Transmission (PMTCT) coverage has been low in Ethiopia and the service has been implemented in a fragmented manner. Solutions to this problem have mainly been sought on the supply-side in the form of improved management and allocation of limited resources. However, this approach largely ignores the demand-side factors associated with low PMTCT coverage in the country. The study assesses the factors associated with the utilization of PMTCT services taking into consideration counts of visits to antenatal care (ANC) services in urban high-HIV prevalence and rural low-HIV prevalence settings in Ethiopia.
A multivariate regression model was employed to identify significant factors associated with PMTCT service utilization. Poisson and negative binomial regression models were applied, considering the number of ANC visits as a dependent variable. The explanatory variables were age; educational status; type of occupation; decision-making power in the household; living in proximity to educated people; a neighborhood with good welfare services; location (urban high-HIV prevalence and rural low-HIV prevalence); transportation accessibility; walking distance (in minutes); and household income status. The alpha dispersion test (a) was performed to measure the goodness-of-fit of the model. Significant results were reported at p-values of < 0.05 and < 0.001.
Household income, socio-economic setting (urban high-HIV prevalence and rural low-HIV prevalence) and walking distance (in minutes) had a statistically significant relationship with the number of ANC visits by pregnant women (p < 0.05). A pregnant woman from an urban high-HIV prevalence setting would be expected to make 34% more ANC visits (counts) than her rural low-HIV prevalence counterparts (p < 0.05). Holding other variables constant, a unit increase in household income would increase the expected ANC visits by 0.004%. An increase in walking distance by a unit (a minute) would decrease the number of ANC visits by 0.001(p < 0.001).
Long walking distance, low household income and living in a rural setting are the significant factors associated with low PMTCT service utilization. The primary strategies for a holistic policy to improve ANC/PMTCT utilization should thus include improving the geographical accessibility of ANC/PMTCT services, expanding household welfare and paying more attention to remote rural areas.
在埃塞俄比亚,预防母婴传播艾滋病毒(PMTCT)的覆盖率一直很低,且该服务的实施方式较为零散。解决这一问题的办法主要是从供应方入手,以改善对有限资源的管理和分配。然而,这种方法在很大程度上忽视了该国与PMTCT覆盖率低相关的需求方因素。本研究在考虑埃塞俄比亚城市高艾滋病毒流行率地区和农村低艾滋病毒流行率地区产前保健(ANC)服务就诊次数的情况下,评估与PMTCT服务利用相关的因素。
采用多元回归模型来确定与PMTCT服务利用相关的重要因素。应用泊松回归模型和负二项回归模型,将ANC就诊次数作为因变量。解释变量包括年龄、教育程度、职业类型、家庭决策权、与受过教育的人居住距离、福利服务良好的社区、地点(城市高艾滋病毒流行率地区和农村低艾滋病毒流行率地区)、交通便利性、步行距离(以分钟计)以及家庭收入状况。进行阿尔法离散度检验(a)以衡量模型的拟合优度。p值<0.05和<0.001时报告显著结果。
家庭收入、社会经济环境(城市高艾滋病毒流行率地区和农村低艾滋病毒流行率地区)以及步行距离(以分钟计)与孕妇的ANC就诊次数存在统计学上的显著关系(p<0.05)。预计城市高艾滋病毒流行率地区的孕妇比农村低艾滋病毒流行率地区的孕妇多进行34%的ANC就诊(次数)(p<0.05)。在其他变量不变的情况下,家庭收入每增加一个单位,预计的ANC就诊次数将增加0.004%。步行距离每增加一个单位(一分钟),ANC就诊次数将减少0.001(p<0.001)。
步行距离长、家庭收入低以及居住在农村地区是与PMTCT服务利用率低相关的重要因素。因此,全面提高ANC/PMTCT利用率政策的主要策略应包括提高ANC/PMTCT服务的地理可及性、扩大家庭福利并更加关注偏远农村地区。