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不同类型和强度的厄尔尼诺事件对中国冬季气溶胶的影响。

Impacts of different types and intensities of El Niño events on winter aerosols over China.

机构信息

Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China; State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China.

State Key Laboratory of Severe Weather, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China; Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing 210044, China.

出版信息

Sci Total Environ. 2019 Mar 10;655:766-780. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.090. Epub 2018 Nov 9.

Abstract

El Niño is a strong signal of interannual climate variability. The occurrence of an El Niño event may have an important impact on atmospheric pollutant concentrations in China through changes to the regional climate. This study quantitatively examines the differences among the effects of different types and intensities of El Niño events on winter mean aerosol concentration and severe haze days in China. It is found that Central Pacific (CP) El Niño events lead to larger increases in the aerosol burden over southern China relative to the same intensity of Eastern Pacific (EP) events. For El Niño events of the same type but with different intensities, moderate events induce large increases in surface aerosol concentrations over the entire eastern China, while strong and weak events lead to obvious decreases in the surface aerosol concentration over northern China. These differences are mainly attributed to changes in atmospheric circulation, with the resulting changes in aerosol mass transport occurring in response to the different types of El Niño event. Except for moderate CP events, all kinds of El Niño events lead to an increase in severe haze days in winter over northern China. Strong and weak EP El Niño events and weak CP El Niño events lead to an increase in severe haze days in winter over southern China. A change in the south-north transport of aerosols caused by El Niño events also play a dominate role in changing the occurrence of winter haze days in China.

摘要

厄尔尼诺现象是年际气候变率的一个强烈信号。厄尔尼诺事件的发生可能通过改变区域气候,对中国大气污染物浓度产生重要影响。本研究定量考察了不同类型和强度的厄尔尼诺事件对中国冬季平均气溶胶浓度和严重雾霾日数的影响差异。结果表明,与同等强度的东太平洋厄尔尼诺事件相比,中太平洋厄尔尼诺事件导致中国南方的气溶胶负荷增加更大。对于同一类型但强度不同的厄尔尼诺事件,中等强度的事件会导致整个中国东部地区地表气溶胶浓度大幅增加,而强、弱事件则会导致中国北部地区地表气溶胶浓度明显下降。这些差异主要归因于大气环流的变化,导致气溶胶质量输送的变化,以响应不同类型的厄尔尼诺事件。除了中等强度的中太平洋厄尔尼诺事件外,各种厄尔尼诺事件都会导致中国北部冬季严重雾霾日数的增加。强厄尔尼诺和弱厄尔尼诺事件以及弱厄尔尼诺事件都会导致中国南部冬季严重雾霾日数的增加。厄尔尼诺事件引起的气溶胶南北输送的变化也在改变中国冬季霾日的发生中起着主导作用。

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