Ruth Moyer, John M. MacDonald, and Greg Ridgeway are with the Department of Criminology, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia. Charles C. Branas is with the Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY.
Am J Public Health. 2019 Jan;109(1):140-144. doi: 10.2105/AJPH.2018.304752. Epub 2018 Nov 29.
To determine if remediating blighted vacant urban land reduced firearm shooting incidents resulting in injury or death. We conducted a cluster randomized controlled trial in which we assigned 541 randomly selected vacant lots in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, to 110 geographically contiguous clusters and randomly assigned these clusters to a greening intervention, a less-intensive mowing and trash cleanup intervention, or a no-intervention control condition. The random assignment to the trial occurred in April and June 2013 and lasted until March 2015. In a difference-in-differences analysis, we assessed whether the 2 treatment conditions relative to the control condition reduced firearm shootings around vacant lots. During the trial, both the greening intervention, -6.8% (95% confidence interval [CI] = -10.6%, -2.7%), and the mowing and trash cleanup intervention, -9.2% (95% CI = -13.2%, -4.8%), significantly reduced shootings. There was no evidence that the interventions displaced shootings into adjacent areas. Remediating vacant land with inexpensive, scalable methods, including greening or minimal mowing and trash cleanup, significantly reduced shootings that result in serious injury or death. Cities should experiment with place-based interventions to develop effective firearm violence-reduction strategies. This trial was registered with the International Standard Randomized Controlled Trial Number (study ID ISRCTN92582209; http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN92582209).
为了确定修复废弃的城市土地是否可以减少导致受伤或死亡的枪支射击事件。我们进行了一项集群随机对照试验,在宾夕法尼亚州费城的 541 个随机选择的空地中,将其分配到 110 个地理上连续的集群中,并将这些集群随机分配到绿化干预、轻度修剪和垃圾清理干预或无干预对照条件。试验的随机分组于 2013 年 4 月和 6 月进行,并持续到 2015 年 3 月。在差异分析中,我们评估了与对照条件相比,这两种治疗条件是否可以减少空地周围的枪支射击。在试验期间,绿化干预措施使枪击事件减少了 6.8%(95%置信区间[CI] = -10.6%,-2.7%),修剪和垃圾清理干预措施使枪击事件减少了 9.2%(95%CI = -13.2%,-4.8%)。没有证据表明干预措施将枪击事件转移到了相邻地区。使用廉价、可扩展的方法修复废弃土地,包括绿化或最低限度的修剪和垃圾清理,可以显著减少导致重伤或死亡的枪击事件。城市应尝试基于地点的干预措施,以制定有效的减少枪支暴力策略。该试验已在国际标准随机对照试验登记处注册(研究 ID ISRCTN92582209;http://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN92582209)。