Tillyer Marie Skubak, Acolin Arthur, Walter Rebecca J
Department of Criminology and Criminal Justice, University of Texas at San Antonio, San Antonio, TX, USA.
Runstad Department of Real Estate, College of Built Environments, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Justice Q. 2023;40(5):694-724. doi: 10.1080/07418825.2022.2127843. Epub 2022 Nov 1.
Research demonstrates that crime concentrates at relatively few microplaces, and changes at a small proportion of locations can have a considerable influence on a city's overall crime level. Yet there is little research examining what accounts for change in crime at microplaces. This study examines the relationship between two mechanisms for place-based improvements - private investment in the form of building permits and public regulation in the form of municipal code enforcement - and yearly changes in crime at street segments. We use longitudinal data from six cities to estimate Spatial Durbin Models with block group and census tract by year fixed effects. Building permits and code enforcement are significantly associated with reductions in crime on street segments across all cities, with spatial diffusion of benefits to nearby segments. These findings suggest public safety planning should include efforts that incentivize and compel physical improvements to high crime microplaces.
研究表明,犯罪集中在相对较少的微观场所,少数地点的变化可能对城市的整体犯罪水平产生重大影响。然而,很少有研究探讨微观场所犯罪变化的原因。本研究考察了两种基于场所改善的机制——建筑许可形式的私人投资和市政法规执行形式的公共监管——与街道段犯罪年度变化之间的关系。我们使用来自六个城市的纵向数据,通过逐年固定效应估计街区组和普查区的空间杜宾模型。建筑许可和法规执行与所有城市街道段犯罪率的降低显著相关,且效益会向附近街道段扩散。这些发现表明,公共安全规划应包括激励和迫使对高犯罪率微观场所进行实体改善的措施。