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驱虫和水、环境卫生与土壤传播性蠕虫病传播的短期和长期影响预测。

Predicted short and long-term impact of deworming and water, hygiene, and sanitation on transmission of soil-transmitted helminths.

机构信息

Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.

Research School of Population Health, College of Medicine, Biology and Environment, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australian Capital Territory, Australia.

出版信息

PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2018 Dec 6;12(12):e0006758. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006758. eCollection 2018 Dec.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Regular preventive chemotherapy (PCT) targeting high-risk populations is an effective way to control STH in the short term, but sustainable long-term STH control is expected to require improved access to water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH). However, experimental studies have not been able to conclusively demonstrate the benefit of WASH in preventing STH (re-)infections. We investigated the impact of WASH on STH infections during and after PCT using mathematical modelling.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We use the individual-based transmission model WORMSIM to predict the short and long-term impact of WASH on STH transmission in contexts with and without PCT. We distinguish two WASH modalities: sanitation, which reduces individuals' contributions to environmental contamination; and hygiene, which reduces individuals' exposure to infection. We simulate the impact of varying levels of uptake and effectiveness of each WASH modality, as well as their combined impact. Clearly, sanitation and hygiene interventions have little observable short-term impact on STH infections levels in the context of PCT. However, in the long term, both are pivotal to sustain control or eliminate infection levels after scaling down or stopping PCT. The impact of hygiene is determined more by the effectiveness of the intervention than its overall uptake, whereas the impact of sanitation depends more directly on the product of uptake and the effectiveness.

INTERPRETATION

The impact of WASH interventions on STH transmission highly depends on the worm species, WASH modality, and uptake and effectiveness of the intervention. Also, the impact of WASH is difficult to measure in the context of ongoing PCT programmes. Still, we show a clear added benefit of WASH to sustain the gains made by PCT in the long term, such that PCT may be scaled down or even stopped altogether. To safely stop or scale down PCT, policy for WASH and PCT should be integrated.

摘要

背景

针对高危人群的常规预防性化疗(PCT)是短期内控制土壤传播性蠕虫(STH)的有效方法,但要实现可持续的长期 STH 控制,预计需要改善获得水、环境卫生和个人卫生(WASH)的条件。然而,实验研究尚不能明确证明 WASH 在预防 STH(再)感染方面的益处。我们利用数学模型研究了 WASH 在 PCT 期间和之后对 STH 感染的影响。

方法和发现

我们使用基于个体的传播模型 WORMSIM 来预测在有和没有 PCT 的情况下,WASH 对 STH 传播的短期和长期影响。我们区分了两种 WASH 模式:卫生设施,减少个人对环境污染的贡献;以及个人卫生,减少个人接触感染的机会。我们模拟了每种 WASH 模式的不同吸收水平和有效性以及它们的综合影响。显然,在 PCT 背景下,卫生设施和个人卫生干预措施对 STH 感染水平的短期影响很小。然而,从长远来看,这两种措施对于在减少或停止 PCT 后维持控制或消除感染水平都是至关重要的。卫生干预措施的影响更多地取决于干预措施的有效性,而不是其总体吸收量,而卫生设施的影响则更直接取决于吸收量和有效性的乘积。

解释

WASH 干预措施对 STH 传播的影响高度取决于蠕虫种类、WASH 模式以及干预措施的吸收量和有效性。此外,在正在进行的 PCT 项目背景下,WASH 干预措施的影响难以衡量。尽管如此,我们还是表明,WASH 在长期内对维持 PCT 取得的成果具有明显的附加益处,从而可以减少或甚至完全停止 PCT。为了安全地停止或减少 PCT 的规模,应将 WASH 和 PCT 的政策结合起来。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c2e7/6283645/0cd5c75adefb/pntd.0006758.g001.jpg

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