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极端厌恶是锚定的原因。

Extremeness Aversion Is a Cause of Anchoring.

机构信息

The Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania.

出版信息

Psychol Sci. 2019 Feb;30(2):159-173. doi: 10.1177/0956797618799305. Epub 2018 Dec 18.

Abstract

When estimating unknown quantities, people insufficiently adjust from values they have previously considered, a phenomenon known as anchoring. We suggest that anchoring is at least partially caused by a desire to avoid making extreme adjustments. In seven studies ( N = 5,279), we found that transparently irrelevant cues of extremeness influenced people's adjustments from anchors. In Studies 1-6, participants were less likely to adjust beyond a particular amount when that amount was closer to the maximum allowable adjustment. For example, in Study 5, participants were less likely to adjust by at least 6 units when they were allowed to adjust by a maximum of 6 units than by a maximum of 15 units. In Study 7, participants adjusted less after considering whether an outcome would be within a smaller distance of the anchor. These results suggest that anchoring effects may reflect a desire to avoid adjustments that feel too extreme.

摘要

当估计未知数量时,人们对先前考虑过的值的调整不足,这种现象称为锚定。我们认为,锚定至少部分是由于人们想要避免做出极端调整的愿望造成的。在七项研究中(N=5279),我们发现,不相关的极端线索会影响人们对锚的调整。在研究 1-6 中,当某个金额更接近允许的最大调整金额时,参与者不太可能超出特定金额进行调整。例如,在研究 5 中,参与者被允许最大调整 6 个单位而不是 15 个单位时,调整至少 6 个单位的可能性较小。在研究 7 中,参与者在考虑结果是否更接近锚点后,调整幅度较小。这些结果表明,锚定效应可能反映了人们避免调整感觉过于极端的愿望。

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