Braithwaite Jeffrey, Mannion Russell, Matsuyama Yukihiro, Shekelle Paul G, Whittaker Stuart, Al-Adawi Samir, Ludlow Kristiana, James Wendy, Ting Hsuen P, Herkes Jessica, McPherson Elise, Churruca Kate, Lamprell Gina, Ellis Louise A, Boyling Claire, Warwick Meagan, Pomare Chiara, Nicklin Wendy, Hughes Clifford F
Centre for Healthcare Resilience and Implementation Science, Australian Institute of Health Innovation, Level 6, 75 Talavera Road, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Health Services Management Centre (HSMC), University of Birmingham Park House 40 Edgbaston Park Road, Birmingham, UK.
Int J Qual Health Care. 2018 Dec 1;30(10):823-831. doi: 10.1093/intqhc/mzy242.
Most research on health systems examines contemporary problems within one, or at most a few, countries. Breaking with this tradition, we present a series of case studies in a book written by key policymakers, scholars and experts, looking at health systems and their projected successes to 2030. Healthcare Systems: Future Predictions for Global Care includes chapters on 52 individual countries and five regions, covering a total of 152 countries. Synthesised, two key contributions are made in this compendium. First, five trends shaping the future healthcare landscape are analysed: sustainable health systems; the genomics revolution; emerging technologies; global demographics dynamics; and new models of care. Second, nine main themes arise from the chapters: integration of healthcare services; financing, economics and insurance; patient-based care and empowering the patient; universal healthcare; technology and information technology; aging populations; preventative care; accreditation, standards, and policy; and human development, education and training. These five trends and nine themes can be used as a blueprint for change. They can help strengthen the efforts of stakeholders interested in reform, ranging from international bodies such as the World Health Organization, the International Society for Quality in Health Care and the World Bank, through to national bodies such as health departments, quality and safety agencies, non-government organisations (NGO) and other groups with an interest in improving healthcare delivery systems. This compendium offers more than a glimpse into the future of healthcare-it provides a roadmap to help shape thinking about the next generation of caring systems, extrapolated over the next 15 years.
大多数关于卫生系统的研究都聚焦于一个国家或至多几个国家的当代问题。与这一传统不同,我们在一本由关键政策制定者、学者和专家撰写的书中呈现了一系列案例研究,审视卫生系统及其到2030年的预期成就。《医疗保健系统:全球医疗的未来预测》包含关于52个国家和五个地区的章节,共计覆盖152个国家。综合来看,这本汇编做出了两项关键贡献。首先,分析了塑造未来医疗保健格局的五大趋势:可持续卫生系统;基因组学革命;新兴技术;全球人口动态;以及新型护理模式。其次,各章节产生了九个主要主题:医疗服务整合;融资、经济与保险;以患者为中心的护理与赋能患者;全民医疗保健;技术与信息技术;老龄化人口;预防保健;认证、标准与政策;以及人类发展、教育与培训。这五大趋势和九个主题可作为变革的蓝图。它们有助于加强从世界卫生组织、国际医疗质量协会和世界银行等国际机构到卫生部门、质量与安全机构、非政府组织(NGO)以及其他对改善医疗服务提供系统感兴趣的团体等利益相关者的改革努力。这本汇编不仅仅是对医疗保健未来的一瞥——它提供了一条路线图,有助于塑造对未来15年推断出的下一代护理系统的思考。