Kang Qing, Vahl Christopher I, Fan Huihao, Geurden Thomas, Ameiss Keith A, Taylor Lucas P
The Statistical Intelligence Group LLC, Manhattan, KS, 66503, United States.
Department of Statistics, Kansas State University, Manhattan, KS, 66506, United States.
Vet Parasitol. 2019 Aug;272:83-94. doi: 10.1016/j.vetpar.2018.12.002. Epub 2018 Dec 13.
Establishing the efficacy of an anti-coccidial drug in poultry begins with conducting multiple battery cage studies, where the target animals are challenged with single and mixed Eimeria species inoculum under controlled laboratory conditions. One of the primary outcomes in a battery cage study is the intestinal lesion score defined on a discrete ordinal scale of 0 to 4. So far, the statistical analysis of lesion scores has routinely employed the linear mixed model (LMM). This present work proposes to apply the generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) with the cumulative logit link to statistically analyze coccidial lesion scores collected from battery cage studies. Upon applying this new approach on 9 datasets generated by challenging battery-cage-housed broilers with various mixtures of Eimeria species, it is observed that the GLMM fitted adequately to the data, produced variance component estimates that agreed with the experimental setup, and, at the 0.05 significance level, generated statistical results in complete concordance with the LMM approach. Advantages of the proposed GLMM over the LMM are discussed from several standpoints. Parallel to the regulatory requirement of a ≥1-unit reduction in the mean lesion score for clinical relevant efficacy under the LMM, the clinical relevancy criterion under the GLMM could be set as a ≥10-fold increase in the odds of having low lesion scores. That is, the effect of an anti-coccidial drug product would be deemed clinically relevant in battery-cage studies when the odds of having low lesion scores with the medication is 10 times or more than the odds without the medication.
确定抗球虫药物在家禽中的疗效始于进行多项笼养试验,在可控的实验室条件下,用单一和混合艾美耳球虫种类接种物对目标动物进行攻毒。笼养试验的主要结果之一是肠道病变评分,其定义在0至4的离散有序尺度上。到目前为止,病变评分的统计分析通常采用线性混合模型(LMM)。本研究提出应用具有累积对数链接的广义线性混合模型(GLMM)对从笼养试验中收集的球虫病变评分进行统计分析。在将这种新方法应用于通过用不同混合的艾美耳球虫种类攻毒笼养肉鸡产生的9个数据集时,观察到GLMM对数据拟合良好,产生的方差分量估计与实验设置一致,并且在0.05显著性水平下,产生的统计结果与LMM方法完全一致。从几个角度讨论了所提出的GLMM相对于LMM的优势。与LMM下临床相关疗效要求平均病变评分降低≥1个单位的监管要求并行,GLMM下的临床相关性标准可以设定为低病变评分的几率增加≥10倍。也就是说,当用药时低病变评分的几率是不用药时的10倍或更多时,抗球虫药物产品在笼养试验中的效果将被视为具有临床相关性。