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一种技术前沿的检测和描述方法:3D 打印技术中技术变革动态分析。

A method for the detection and characterization of technology fronts: Analysis of the dynamics of technological change in 3D printing technology.

机构信息

Department of Business Management, University of the Basque Country (UPV/EHU), Bilbao, Spain.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2019 Jan 7;14(1):e0210441. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0210441. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

This paper presents a method for the identification of the "technology fronts"-core technological solutions-underlying a certain broad technology, and the characterization of their change dynamics. We propose an approach based on the Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) model combined with patent data analysis and text mining techniques for the identification and dynamic characterization of the main fronts where actual technological solutions are put into practice. 3D printing technology has been selected to put our method into practice for its market emergence and multidisciplinarity. The results show two highly relevant and specialized fronts strongly related with mechanical design that evolve gradually, in our opinion acting as enabling technologies. On the other side, we detected three fronts undergoing significant changes, namely layer-by-layer multimaterial manufacturing, data processing and stereolithograpy techniques. Laser and electron-beam based technologies take shape in the latter years and show signs of becoming enabling technologies in the future. The technology fronts and data revealed by our method have been convincing to experts and coincident with many technology trends already pointed out in technical reports and scientific literature.

摘要

本文提出了一种识别某一广泛技术中“技术前沿”(核心技术解决方案)并描述其变化动态的方法。我们提出了一种基于潜在狄利克雷分配(LDA)模型的方法,结合专利数据分析和文本挖掘技术,用于识别和动态描述主要的技术前沿,实际的技术解决方案就在这些前沿中得到应用。选择 3D 打印技术来实践我们的方法,是因为它的市场出现和多学科性。结果显示了两个高度相关和专业化的前沿,它们与机械设计密切相关并逐渐演变,我们认为它们是推动技术发展的关键技术。另一方面,我们检测到三个正在经历重大变化的技术前沿,分别是逐层多材料制造、数据处理和立体光固化技术。基于激光和电子束的技术在近些年逐渐成形,并显示出未来成为推动技术发展的关键技术的迹象。我们的方法所揭示的技术前沿和数据得到了专家的认可,并且与技术报告和科学文献中已经指出的许多技术趋势相吻合。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/59c3/6322778/b6e39e696155/pone.0210441.g001.jpg

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