Scientific Director, Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA.
Senior Associate Scientist, Surveillance Research, American Cancer Society, Atlanta, GA.
CA Cancer J Clin. 2019 Jan;69(1):7-34. doi: 10.3322/caac.21551. Epub 2019 Jan 8.
Each year, the American Cancer Society estimates the numbers of new cancer cases and deaths that will occur in the United States and compiles the most recent data on cancer incidence, mortality, and survival. Incidence data, available through 2015, were collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program; the National Program of Cancer Registries; and the North American Association of Central Cancer Registries. Mortality data, available through 2016, were collected by the National Center for Health Statistics. In 2019, 1,762,450 new cancer cases and 606,880 cancer deaths are projected to occur in the United States. Over the past decade of data, the cancer incidence rate (2006-2015) was stable in women and declined by approximately 2% per year in men, whereas the cancer death rate (2007-2016) declined annually by 1.4% and 1.8%, respectively. The overall cancer death rate dropped continuously from 1991 to 2016 by a total of 27%, translating into approximately 2,629,200 fewer cancer deaths than would have been expected if death rates had remained at their peak. Although the racial gap in cancer mortality is slowly narrowing, socioeconomic inequalities are widening, with the most notable gaps for the most preventable cancers. For example, compared with the most affluent counties, mortality rates in the poorest counties were 2-fold higher for cervical cancer and 40% higher for male lung and liver cancers during 2012-2016. Some states are home to both the wealthiest and the poorest counties, suggesting the opportunity for more equitable dissemination of effective cancer prevention, early detection, and treatment strategies. A broader application of existing cancer control knowledge with an emphasis on disadvantaged groups would undoubtedly accelerate progress against cancer.
每年,美国癌症协会都会预估美国新癌症病例和死亡人数,并汇编最新的癌症发病率、死亡率和生存率数据。发病率数据可追溯至 2015 年,由监测、流行病学和最终结果计划、国家癌症登记处计划和北美中央癌症登记处协会收集。死亡率数据可追溯至 2016 年,由国家卫生统计中心收集。2019 年,预计美国将有 176.245 万例新癌症病例和 60.688 例癌症死亡。在过去十年的数据中,女性的癌症发病率(2006-2015 年)保持稳定,而男性的癌症发病率每年下降约 2%,而癌症死亡率(2007-2016 年)则分别以每年 1.4%和 1.8%的速度下降。总体癌症死亡率从 1991 年到 2016 年持续下降了 27%,这意味着如果死亡率保持在峰值,预计将减少约 262.92 万例癌症死亡。尽管癌症死亡率的种族差距正在缓慢缩小,但社会经济不平等正在扩大,最可预防的癌症的差距最为明显。例如,与最富裕的县相比,2012-2016 年,最贫困县的宫颈癌死亡率是其两倍,男性肺癌和肝癌死亡率高 40%。一些州既有最富裕的县,也有最贫困的县,这表明有机会更公平地推广有效的癌症预防、早期发现和治疗策略。更广泛地应用现有的癌症控制知识,并侧重于弱势群体,无疑将加速癌症防治的进展。
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