Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University Institute of Construction and Environmental Engineering, Seoul National University, 1 Gwanak-ro, Gwanak-gu, Seoul, Republic of Korea.
Accid Anal Prev. 2019 Mar;124:120-126. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2019.01.001. Epub 2019 Jan 10.
The objective of this study was to examine the specific deterrence effect of administrative license suspension and revocation regarding the duration of compliance. This study tried to capture the effort of the reinstated offenders to increase the duration of their compliance in spite of their subsequent conviction for DUI. Specifically, the difference between the recidivism rate and the duration of compliance was examined and compared in terms of drivers' characteristics, including gender, the type of license, and age. Data from all drivers who have been newly licensed for five years from 2009 to 2014 in Korea were collected for analysis. The proportional hazard regression and logistic regression models were estimated for the drivers with suspended or revoked licenses, respectively. The former was for exploring the duration of compliance, and the latter was for analyzing the recidivism rate. The results of the analysis showed that license sanctions significantly increased the duration of compliance. The results indicated that the violation-prone groups included male drivers, those with regular and moped licenses, and those between the ages of 30 and 39. License suspension was more effective than license revocation, but this finding did not hold for regular licensed drivers. Drivers' groups that showed different results between compliance duration and recidivism rate also were identified and appropriate treatments should be implemented to improve their willingness to comply.
本研究旨在考察吊销和暂扣行政许可证对遵守规定期限的具体威慑效应。本研究试图捕捉到复犯者为了延长遵守规定期限所付出的努力，尽管他们随后因 DUI 被定罪。具体而言，从驾驶员的特征（包括性别、驾照类型和年龄）方面，对累犯率和遵守规定期限之间的差异进行了考察和比较。本研究分析了 2009 年至 2014 年韩国所有新获得驾照五年内的驾驶员的数据。分别对被吊销或暂扣驾照的驾驶员进行了比例风险回归和逻辑回归模型的估计。前者用于探索遵守规定的期限，后者用于分析累犯率。分析结果表明，许可证制裁显著延长了遵守规定的期限。结果表明，易违规群体包括男性驾驶员、持有普通和轻便摩托车驾照的驾驶员以及 30 至 39 岁的驾驶员。吊销许可证比吊销许可证更有效，但对于普通驾照驾驶员来说，这一发现并不成立。还确定了在遵守期限和累犯率之间表现出不同结果的驾驶员群体，应采取适当的治疗措施来提高他们的遵守意愿。
