Liu Yumei, Chen Qihui, Rao Xudong, Diao Xinyu, Yang Lin, Fang Xiangming, Hogeveen Henk
College of Economics and Management, China Agricultural University, 108 Mailbox, No.17 Qinghua Donglu, Haidian District, Beijing, 100083, PR China.
Business Economics Group, Wageningen University and Research, Hollandseweg 1, 6706 KN, Wageningen, the Netherlands.
Prev Vet Med. 2019 Feb 1;163:24-30. doi: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2018.12.005. Epub 2018 Dec 13.
Hog pseudorabies (Aujeszky's disease) can incur serious losses for farm owners and even the entire hog industry by causing infertility, abortion, and stillbirth among sows, as well as diarrhoea, respiratory failure, and death among piglets. Pseudorabies virus could be prevented, controlled, and eliminated by clean-up at both farm and regional levels through a strict procedure of vaccination, quarantine, diagnosis, elimination of positive animals, and healthy animals nurturing. Using data from 63 large-scale hog farms from nine provinces (municipalities, autonomous regions) of China, we evaluated the economic consequences of hog pseudorabies clean-up in China's hog farms based on a partial budgeting method. By comparing large-scale hog farms that have performed pseudorabies clean-up with similar farms that have not, we analysed how clean-up affected farm profit and whether there existed sufficient economic incentives for farm owners to adopt pseudorabies control measures. Further, we examined how the economic consequences varied with factors such as clean-up history and farm size. The findings showed that, on average, clean-up adopters outperformed non-adopters by 8.02 million yuan per farm per year within the four years post clean-up adoption. Also, we found that the net profit changes attributable to pseudorabies clean-up increased over time and with farm size. Although we cannot extrapolate to all Chinese hog farms, these findings suggest that the earlier a hog farm adopted pseudorabies clean-up, the larger the economic benefits would be, especially for large-scale farms.
猪伪狂犬病(奥耶斯基氏病)可导致母猪不孕、流产和死产,以及仔猪腹泻、呼吸衰竭和死亡,给猪场主甚至整个养猪业带来严重损失。通过在农场和区域层面进行清理,严格执行疫苗接种、检疫、诊断、扑杀阳性动物和培育健康动物的程序,可以预防、控制和消灭伪狂犬病病毒。利用中国9个省(直辖市、自治区)63个大型养猪场的数据,我们基于部分预算法评估了中国养猪场清理猪伪狂犬病的经济后果。通过将已进行伪狂犬病清理的大型养猪场与未进行清理的类似猪场进行比较,我们分析了清理如何影响农场利润,以及农场主是否有足够的经济激励措施来采取伪狂犬病控制措施。此外,我们还研究了经济后果如何随清理历史和农场规模等因素而变化。研究结果表明,平均而言,在采用清理措施后的四年内,采用清理措施的猪场每年比未采用的猪场多盈利802万元。我们还发现,因伪狂犬病清理而产生的净利润变化随着时间的推移和农场规模的扩大而增加。尽管我们不能推断到所有中国养猪场,但这些发现表明,养猪场越早采用伪狂犬病清理措施,经济效益就越大,尤其是对于大型猪场而言。