Colomer Maria Angels, Margalida Antoni, Fraile Lorenzo
Department of Mathematics ETSEA, University of Lleida, 25198 Lleida, Spain.
Institute for Game and Wildlife Research, IREC. Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas-Universidad de Castilla la Mancha-Junta de Comunidad de Castilla la Mancha (CSIC-UCLM-JCCM), 13005 Ciudad Real, Spain.
Animals (Basel). 2020 May 24;10(5):909. doi: 10.3390/ani10050909.
Aujeszky's disease is one of the main pig viral diseases and results in considerable economic losses in the pork production industry. The disease can be controlled using preventive measures such as improved stock management and vaccination throughout the pig-rearing period. We developed a stochastic model based on Population Dynamics P systems (PDP) models for a standard pig production system to differentiate between the effects of pig farm management regimes and vaccination strategies on the control of Aujeszky's disease under several different epidemiological scenarios. Our results suggest that after confirming the diagnosis, early vaccination of most of the population (>75%) is critical to decrease the spread of the virus and minimize its impact on pig productivity. The direct economic cost of an outbreak of Aujeszky's disease can be extremely high on a previously uninfected farm (from 352-792 Euros/sow/year) and highlights the positive benefits of investing in vaccination measures to control infections. We demonstrate the usefulness of computational models as tools in the evaluation of preventive medicine programs aimed at limiting the impact of disease on animal production.
伪狂犬病是主要的猪病毒性疾病之一,给猪肉生产行业造成了相当大的经济损失。通过改善饲养管理和在整个养猪期间进行疫苗接种等预防措施,可以控制该病。我们基于种群动态P系统(PDP)模型,为标准养猪生产系统开发了一个随机模型,以区分猪场管理制度和疫苗接种策略在几种不同流行病学情景下对伪狂犬病控制的影响。我们的结果表明,确诊后,对大多数猪群(>75%)进行早期疫苗接种对于减少病毒传播和将其对猪生产力的影响降至最低至关重要。在以前未感染的猪场,伪狂犬病爆发的直接经济成本可能极高(352 - 792欧元/母猪/年),这凸显了投资疫苗接种措施以控制感染的积极效益。我们证明了计算模型作为工具在评估旨在限制疾病对动物生产影响的预防医学项目中的有用性。