The University of Maine, Orono, USA.
Sex Abuse. 2020 Aug;32(5):499-520. doi: 10.1177/1079063219825871. Epub 2019 Feb 4.
The current study evaluated the predictive validity of the Juvenile Sex Offender Assessment Protocol-II (J-SOAP-II) scores in a sample of juveniles who recidivated sexually or nonsexually as adults. Participants included 166 juveniles who had previously sexually offended and were followed into adulthood for an average of 10.75 years. Results of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analyses supported the predictive validity of the J-SOAP-II Total Score, Scale 1, and Static Score in regard to adult sexual recidivism, and predictive validity was found for all J-SOAP-II scores (except Scale 1) in regard to adult nonsexual recidivism. Implications for future research on the assessment of risk factors and treatment needs for adolescents who commit sexual offenses are discussed.
本研究评估了青少年性犯罪者评估方案-II（J-SOAP-II）在一组成年后再次性犯罪或非性犯罪的青少年样本中的预测有效性。参与者包括 166 名曾有过性犯罪记录并被跟踪至成年的青少年，平均随访时间为 10.75 年。受试者工作特征曲线（ROC）分析结果支持 J-SOAP-II 总分、量表 1 和静态评分对成年人性犯罪复发的预测有效性，并且所有 J-SOAP-II 评分（量表 1 除外）对成年后非性犯罪复发也具有预测有效性。讨论了青少年性犯罪者风险因素评估和治疗需求的未来研究的意义。
