Zeng Gerald, Chu Chi Meng, Lee Yirong
Ministry of Social and Family Development, Singapore
Ministry of Social and Family Development, Singapore.
Sex Abuse. 2015 Feb;27(1):91-108. doi: 10.1177/1079063214561684. Epub 2014 Dec 18.
Sexual offending has attracted increasing public concern because of its long-term effects. Although there is an increasing amount of research on the risk factors for recidivism among youth who have sexually offended, there is a dearth of research on the protective factors for desistence from recidivism. The current study investigated the associations between protective factors and recidivism among 97 Singaporean youth who sexually offended (YSO). In addition, the predictive validity with regard to two new measures of protective factors-the Desistence for Adolescents Who Sexually Harm (DASH-13), and Structured Assessment of Protective Factors for Violence Risk (SAPROF)-were also evaluated. Results indicated that both the DASH-13 and the SAPROF were inversely related to the Estimate of Risk of Adolescent Sexual Offense Recidivism (ERASOR). However, neither the DASH-13 nor the SAPROF were found to have adequate predictive validity or incremental validity for sexual or nonsexual recidivism. The implications for the assessment and management of YSO are discussed.
性犯罪因其长期影响而日益引起公众关注。尽管针对有性犯罪行为的青少年再犯风险因素的研究越来越多，但对于阻止再犯的保护因素的研究却很匮乏。本研究调查了97名有性犯罪行为的新加坡青少年（YSO）中保护因素与再犯之间的关联。此外，还评估了两种新的保护因素测量方法——《性伤害青少年停止犯罪量表》（DASH - 13）和《暴力风险保护因素结构化评估量表》（SAPROF）的预测效度。结果表明，DASH - 13和SAPROF均与《青少年性犯罪再犯风险评估量表》（ERASOR）呈负相关。然而，对于性再犯或非性再犯，DASH - 13和SAPROF均未表现出足够的预测效度或增效效度。文中讨论了这些结果对有性犯罪行为青少年的评估和管理的启示。
