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调查撒哈拉以南非洲 6 个选定国家的环境污染、经济增长、能源利用和外国直接投资之间的关系。

Investigating the nexus among environmental pollution, economic growth, energy use, and foreign direct investment in 6 selected sub-Saharan African countries.

机构信息

School of Management, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212013, People's Republic of China.

Faculty of Science, Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang, 212013, People's Republic of China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2019 Apr;26(11):11245-11260. doi: 10.1007/s11356-019-04455-0. Epub 2019 Feb 22.

Abstract

This research seeks to enhance the current literature by exploring the nexus among environmental contamination, economic growth, energy use, and foreign direct investment in 6 selected sub-Saharan African nations for a time of 34 years (1980-2014). By applying panel unit root (CADF and CIPS, cross-sectional independence test), panel cointegration (Pedroni and Kao cointegration test, panel PP, panel ADF), Hausman poolability test, and an auto-regressive distributed lag procedure in view of the pooled mean group estimation (ARDL/PMG), experimental findings disclose that alluding to the related probability values, the null hypothesis of cross-sectional independence for all variables is rejected because they are not stationary at levels but rather stationary at their first difference. The variables are altogether integrated at the same order I(1). Findings revealed that there is a confirmation of a bidirectional causality between energy use and CO in the short-run and one-way causality running from energy use to CO in the long run. There is additionally a significant positive outcome and unidirectional causality from CO to foreign direct investment in the long run yet no causal relationship in the short run. An increase in energy use by 1% causes an increase in CO by 49%. An increase in economic growth by 1% causes an increment in CO by 16% and an increase in economic growth squared by 1% diminishes CO by 46%. The positive and negative impacts of economic growth and its square approve the EKC theory. To guarantee sustainable economic development goal, more strict laws like sequestration ought to be worked out, use of sustainable power source ought to be stressed, and GDP ought to be multiplied to diminish CO by the utilization of eco-technology for instance carbon capturing, to save lives and also to maintain a green environment.

摘要

这项研究旨在通过探索环境污染、经济增长、能源利用以及外国直接投资在撒哈拉以南非洲 6 个选定国家的 34 年(1980-2014 年)间的关系,来丰富当前的文献。通过应用面板单位根(CADF 和 CIPS,横截面独立性检验)、面板协整(Pedroni 和 Kao 协整检验、面板 PP、面板 ADF)、豪斯曼可pool 性检验以及自回归分布滞后程序,考虑到均值组估计(ARDL/PMG),实证结果表明,由于所有变量的横截面独立性的零假设被拒绝,因此,在水平上它们不是平稳的,而是在一阶差分上平稳。这些变量完全在同一阶 I(1)上整合。研究结果表明,在短期内,能源利用和 CO 之间存在双向因果关系,而在长期内,能源利用对 CO 存在单向因果关系。另外,在长期内,CO 对外国直接投资有显著的正向因果关系,而在短期内则没有因果关系。能源利用增加 1%会导致 CO 增加 49%。经济增长增加 1%会导致 CO 增加 16%,而经济增长平方增加 1%会导致 CO 减少 46%。经济增长及其平方的积极和消极影响证实了 EKC 理论。为了保证可持续经济发展目标,应该制定更严格的法律,如封存,强调使用可持续能源,并且应该利用生态技术(例如碳捕获)来增加 GDP,以减少 CO,以拯救生命并维护绿色环境。

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