Environmental Studies Program, Colby College, 5351 Mayflower Hill Drive, Waterville, ME, 04901, USA.
Marine Science Center, Northeastern University, Nahant, MA, 01908, USA.
Ambio. 2020 Jan;49(1):144-155. doi: 10.1007/s13280-019-01156-3. Epub 2019 Mar 9.
The ability of resource-dependent communities to adapt to climate change depends in part on their perceptions and prioritization of specific climate-related threats. In the Maine lobster fishery, which is highly vulnerable to warming water associated with climate change, we found a strong majority (84%) of fishers viewed warming water as a threat, but rank its impacts lower than other drivers of change (e.g., pollution). Two-thirds believed they will be personally affected by warming waters, but only half had plans to adapt. Those with adaptation plans demonstrated fundamentally different views of human agency in this system, observing greater anthropogenic threats, but also a greater ability to control the fishery through their own actions on the water and fisheries management processes. Lack of adaptation planning was linked to the view that warming waters result from natural cycles, and the expectation that technological advancements will help buffer the industry from warming waters.
资源依赖型社区适应气候变化的能力在一定程度上取决于它们对特定与气候相关的威胁的看法和重视程度。在缅因州龙虾渔业中，由于与气候变化相关的水温升高，该渔业极易受到影响，我们发现绝大多数（84%）渔民认为水温升高是一种威胁，但将其影响的优先级排在其他变化驱动因素（如污染）之后。三分之二的渔民认为他们将受到水温升高的个人影响，但只有一半的渔民有适应计划。那些有适应计划的人对该系统中的人为因素有着截然不同的看法，他们观察到更大的人为威胁，但也认为通过自己在水上的行动和渔业管理过程，他们有更大的能力来控制渔业。缺乏适应计划与认为水温升高是自然循环的结果的观点以及期望技术进步将有助于缓冲该行业免受水温升高的影响有关。
