Mai Rong-Yun, Ye Jia-Zhou, Long Zhong-Rong, Shi Xian-Mao, Bai Tao, Chen Jie, Li Le-Qun, Wu Guo-Bin, Wu Fei-Xiang
Department of Hepatobiliary and Pancreatic Surgery, Affiliated Tumor Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi Zhuangzu 530021, China,
Cancer Manag Res. 2019 Feb 12;11:1401-1414. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S186114. eCollection 2019.
This study aimed to investigate the efficacy of preoperative aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet-ratio index (APRI) score to predict the risk of posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after liver resection, and to compare the discriminatory performance of the APRI with the Child-Pugh score, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score.
A total of 1,044 consecutive patients with HCC who underwent liver resection were enrolled and studied. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to investigate risk factors associated with PHLF. Predictive discrimination of Child-Pugh, MELD, ALBI, and APRI scores for predicting PHLF were assessed according to area under the ROC curve. The cutoff value of the APRI score for predicting PHLF was determined by ROC analysis. APRI scores were stratified by dichotomy to analyze correlations with incidence and grade of PHLF.
PHLF occurred in 213 (20.4%) patients. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that Child-Pugh, MELD, ALBI, and APRI scores were significantly associated with PHLF. Area under the ROC analysis revealed that the APRI score for predicting PHLF was significantly more accurate than Child-Pugh, MELD, or ALBI scores. With an optimal cutoff value of 0.55, the sensitivity and specificity of the APRI score for predicting PHLF were 72.2% and 68.0%, respectively, and the incidence and grade of PHLF in patients with high risk (APRI score >0.55) was significantly higher than in the low-risk cohort (APRI score <0.55).
The APRI score predicted PHLF in patients with HCC undergoing liver resection more accurately than Child-Pugh, MELD, or ALBI scores.
本研究旨在探讨术前天冬氨酸转氨酶与血小板比值指数(APRI)评分对预测肝细胞癌(HCC)患者肝切除术后肝衰竭(PHLF)风险的有效性,并比较APRI与Child-Pugh评分、终末期肝病模型(MELD)评分及白蛋白-胆红素(ALBI)评分的鉴别性能。
共纳入1044例连续接受肝切除的HCC患者并进行研究。进行单因素和多因素分析以探究与PHLF相关的危险因素。根据ROC曲线下面积评估Child-Pugh、MELD、ALBI和APRI评分对预测PHLF的预测鉴别能力。通过ROC分析确定预测PHLF的APRI评分临界值。将APRI评分进行二分分层以分析其与PHLF发生率及分级的相关性。
213例(20.4%)患者发生了PHLF。单因素和多因素分析显示,Child-Pugh、MELD、ALBI和APRI评分与PHLF显著相关。ROC分析曲线下面积显示,预测PHLF的APRI评分比Child-Pugh、MELD或ALBI评分显著更准确。APRI评分预测PHLF的最佳临界值为0.55,其敏感度和特异度分别为72.2%和68.0%,高风险(APRI评分>0.55)患者的PHLF发生率及分级显著高于低风险队列(APRI评分<0.55)。
对于接受肝切除的HCC患者,APRI评分预测PHLF比Child-Pugh、MELD或ALBI评分更准确。