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2015 年全球老年人呼吸道合胞病毒相关急性呼吸道感染疾病负担估计:系统评价和荟萃分析。

Global Disease Burden Estimates of Respiratory Syncytial Virus-Associated Acute Respiratory Infection in Older Adults in 2015: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

机构信息

Centre for Global Health Research, Usher Institute of Population Health Sciences and Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

Global Vaccine Epidemiology and Modeling Department, Sanofi Pasteur, Lyon, France.

出版信息

J Infect Dis. 2020 Oct 7;222(Suppl 7):S577-S583. doi: 10.1093/infdis/jiz059.

Abstract

Respiratory syncytial virus-associated acute respiratory infection (RSV-ARI) constitutes a substantial disease burden in older adults aged ≥65 years. We aimed to identify all studies worldwide investigating the disease burden of RSV-ARI in this population. We estimated the community incidence, hospitalization rate, and in-hospital case-fatality ratio (hCFR) of RSV-ARI in older adults, stratified by industrialized and developing regions, using data from a systematic review of studies published between January 1996 and April 2018 and 8 unpublished population-based studies. We applied these rate estimates to population estimates for 2015 to calculate the global and regional burdens in older adults with RSV-ARI in the community and in hospitals for that year. We estimated the number of in-hospital deaths due to RSV-ARI by combining hCFR data with hospital admission estimates from hospital-based studies. In 2015, there were about 1.5 million episodes (95% confidence interval [CI], .3 million-6.9 million) of RSV-ARI in older adults in industrialized countries (data for developing countries were missing), and of these, approximately 14.5% (214 000 episodes; 95% CI, 100 000-459 000) were admitted to hospitals. The global number of hospital admissions for RSV-ARI in older adults was estimated at 336 000 hospitalizations (uncertainty range [UR], 186 000-614 000). We further estimated about 14 000 in-hospital deaths (UR, 5000-50 000) related to RSV-ARI globally. The hospital admission rate and hCFR were higher for those aged ≥65 years than for those aged 50-64 years. The disease burden of RSV-ARI among older adults is substantial, with limited data from developing countries. Appropriate prevention and management strategies are needed to reduce this burden.

摘要

呼吸道合胞病毒相关的急性呼吸道感染(RSV-ARI)在≥65 岁的老年人中构成了相当大的疾病负担。我们旨在确定全球所有研究 RSV-ARI 在该人群中疾病负担的研究。我们使用 1996 年 1 月至 2018 年 4 月发表的研究的系统综述数据以及 8 项未发表的基于人群的研究,估计了工业化和发展中地区老年人中 RSV-ARI 的社区发病率、住院率和住院病死率(hCFR),并进行了分层。我们将这些速率估计应用于 2015 年的人群估计值,以计算当年社区和医院中患有 RSV-ARI 的老年人的全球和区域负担。我们将 hCFR 数据与基于医院的研究中的住院估计值相结合,计算了因 RSV-ARI 导致的住院死亡人数。2015 年,工业化国家约有 150 万例(95%置信区间 [CI],30 万至 690 万)老年人患有 RSV-ARI(发展中国家的数据缺失),其中约 14.5%(214000 例;95%CI,100000-459000)住院。全球老年人因 RSV-ARI 住院的人数估计为 336000 例住院(不确定性范围 [UR],186000-614000)。我们进一步估计全球约有 14000 例因 RSV-ARI 住院的死亡病例(UR,5000-50000)。年龄≥65 岁的患者住院率和 hCFR 高于 50-64 岁的患者。老年人中 RSV-ARI 的疾病负担相当大,而来自发展中国家的数据有限。需要采取适当的预防和管理策略来减轻这一负担。

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