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采用耐旱玉米品种对津巴布韦东南部玉米总产量的影响。

Impact of adoption of drought-tolerant maize varieties on total maize production in south Eastern Zimbabwe.

作者信息

Lunduka Rodney Witman, Mateva Kumbirai Ivyne, Magorokosho Cosmos, Manjeru Pepukai

机构信息

International Maize and Wheat Improvement Centre (CIMMYT), Harare, Zimbabwe.

The International Crops Research Institute for the Semi-Arid Tropics (ICRISAT), Bulawayo, Zimbabwe.

出版信息

Clim Dev. 2017 Sep 7;11(1):35-46. doi: 10.1080/17565529.2017.1372269. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

Drought is a huge limiting factor in maize production, mainly in the rain-fed agriculture of sub-Saharan Africa. In response to this threat, drought-tolerant (DT) maize varieties have been developed with an aim to ensure maize production under mild drought conditions. We conducted a study to assess the impact of smallholder farmers' adoption of DT maize varieties on total maize production. Data for the study came from a survey of 200 randomly sampled households in two districts of Chiredzi and Chipinge in southeastern Zimbabwe. The study found that 93% of the households were growing improved maize varieties and that 30% of the sampled households were growing DT maize varieties. Total maize yield was 436.5 kg/ha for a household that did not grow DT maize varieties and 680.5 kg/ha for households that grew DT maize varieties. We control for the endogeneity of the DT adoption variable, by using the control function approach to estimate total maize production in a Cobb-Douglas model. The results show that households that grew DT maize varieties had 617 kg/ha more maize than households that did not grow the DT maize varieties. Given that almost all farmers buy their seeds in the market, a change in varieties to DT maize seeds gives an extra income of US$240/ha or more than nine months of food at no additional cost. This has huge implications in curbing food insecurity and simultaneously saving huge amounts of resources at the household and national levels, which are used to buy extra food during the lean season.

摘要

干旱是玉米生产的一个巨大限制因素,在撒哈拉以南非洲的雨养农业中尤为突出。为应对这一威胁,已培育出耐旱玉米品种,旨在确保在轻度干旱条件下的玉米产量。我们开展了一项研究,以评估小农户采用耐旱玉米品种对玉米总产量的影响。该研究的数据来自对津巴布韦东南部奇雷兹和奇平格两个地区随机抽取的200户家庭的调查。研究发现,93%的家庭种植改良玉米品种,30%的抽样家庭种植耐旱玉米品种。未种植耐旱玉米品种的家庭玉米总产量为436.5公斤/公顷,种植耐旱玉米品种的家庭为680.5公斤/公顷。我们通过使用控制函数法在柯布-道格拉斯模型中估计玉米总产量,来控制耐旱品种采用变量的内生性。结果表明,种植耐旱玉米品种的家庭比未种植耐旱玉米品种的家庭多收获617公斤/公顷的玉米。鉴于几乎所有农民都在市场上购买种子,改用耐旱玉米种子会带来每公顷240美元的额外收入,或者相当于九个多月的食物,且无需额外成本。这对于遏制粮食不安全状况以及同时在家庭和国家层面节省大量用于在青黄不接季节购买额外粮食的资源具有重大意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/7e36/6397629/35b9e4d8efaa/TCLD_A_1372269_F0001_OB.jpg

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