Krishna Vijesh V, Lantican Maximina A, Prasanna B M, Pixley Kevin, Abdoulaye Tahirou, Menkir Abebe, Bänziger Marianne, Erenstein Olaf
International Maize and Wheat Improvement Center (CIMMYT), ICRISAT Campus, Patancheru, 502324 Hyderabad, India.
CIMMYT, Mexico City, Mexico.
Field Crops Res. 2023 Jan 1;290:108756. doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2022.108756.
This study reports on the adoption and impacts of CGIAR-related maize varieties in 18 major maize-producing countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) during 1995-2015. Of the 1345 maize varieties released during this timeframe, approximately 60% had a known CGIAR parentage. About 34% (9.5 million ha) of the total maize area in 2015 was cultivated with 'new' CGIAR-related maize varieties released between 1995 and 2015. In the same year, an additional 13% of the maize area was cultivated with 'old' CGIAR-related maize varieties released before 1995. The aggregate annual economic benefit of using new CGIAR-related maize germplasm for yield increase in SSA was estimated at US$1.1-1.6 billion in 2015, which we attributed equally to co-investments by CGIAR funders, public-sector national research and extension programs, and private sector partners. Given that the annual global investment in CGIAR maize breeding at its maximum was US$30 million, the benefit-cost ratios for the CGIAR investment and CGIAR-attributable portion of economic benefits varied from 12:1-17:1, under the assumption of a 5-year lag in the research investment to yield returns. The study also discusses the methodological challenges involved in large-scale impact assessments. Post-2015 CGIAR tropical maize breeding efforts have had a strong emphasis on stress tolerance.
本研究报告了1995年至2015年期间撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)18个主要玉米生产国采用国际农业研究磋商组织(CGIAR)相关玉米品种的情况及其影响。在此期间发布的1345个玉米品种中,约60%有已知的CGIAR亲本。2015年,约34%(950万公顷)的玉米种植面积采用了1995年至2015年期间发布的“新”CGIAR相关玉米品种。同年,另有13%的玉米种植面积采用了1995年之前发布的“旧”CGIAR相关玉米品种。2015年,在SSA使用新的CGIAR相关玉米种质提高产量带来的年度总经济效益估计为11亿至16亿美元,我们将其平均归因于CGIAR资助者、公共部门国家研究与推广计划以及私营部门合作伙伴的共同投资。鉴于CGIAR玉米育种的年度全球投资最高为3000万美元,假设研究投资到产生收益有5年的滞后期,CGIAR投资的效益成本比以及CGIAR可归因的经济效益部分在12:1至17:1之间。该研究还讨论了大规模影响评估中涉及的方法学挑战。2015年后,CGIAR的热带玉米育种工作大力强调了抗逆性。