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新西兰死亡率最高地震的描述性流行病学:1931 年霍克湾地震。

Descriptive Epidemiology of New Zealand's Highest Mortality Earthquake: Hawke's Bay in 1931.

机构信息

Genealogist/Family Historian, Te Puke, Bay of Plenty, New Zealand.

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

出版信息

Sci Rep. 2019 Mar 20;9(1):4914. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-41432-6.

Abstract

In this study we aimed to produce the first detailed analysis of the epidemiology of the severe injury and mortality impacts of the 1931 Hawke's Bay earthquake in New Zealand (NZ). This involved the compilation and analysis of archival data (hospitalisations and deaths) including the examination of 324 death certificates. We found that there were 662 people for whom some hospitalisation data were available at four weeks post-earthquake: 54% were still in hospital, 4% were still classified as "serious", and 5% had died (n = 28). Our classification of death certificate data indicated 256 earthquake-attributable deaths and for another five deaths the earthquake was estimated to have played an indirect role. There were 15 buildings associated with three or more deaths each (accounting for 58% of deaths with a known location). Many of these buildings were multi-storey and involved unreinforced masonry - with some of this falling into the street and killing people there (19% of deaths). In contrast, deaths in homes, which were typically of wood construction and single stories, comprised only 3% of deaths. In conclusion, this earthquake had a relatively high injury impact that appears partly related to the lack of regulations for building construction that would mitigate earthquake-related risk. Such regulations continue to be of relevance for New Zealand and for other countries in earthquake zones.

摘要

在这项研究中,我们旨在对新西兰(NZ)1931 年霍克湾地震的严重伤害和死亡率影响进行首次详细的流行病学分析。这涉及档案数据(住院和死亡)的编制和分析,包括对 324 份死亡证明的审查。我们发现,有 662 人在地震后四周有一些住院数据:54%仍在住院,4%仍被归类为“严重”,5%已死亡(n=28)。我们对死亡证明数据的分类表明,有 256 例与地震有关的死亡,另外 5 例死亡据估计与地震有间接关系。有 15 栋建筑物与每栋建筑物有 3 人或 3 人以上的死亡有关(占已知位置的死亡人数的 58%)。这些建筑物中的许多是多层的,涉及非加固砌体,其中一些建筑物倒塌在街上,造成那里的人死亡(19%的死亡)。相比之下,在房屋中的死亡,这些房屋通常为木制结构且为单层,仅占死亡人数的 3%。总之,这场地震造成的伤害相对较高,这似乎部分与缺乏减轻地震相关风险的建筑施工法规有关。这些法规在新西兰和其他地震带国家仍然具有相关性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a98d/6426931/d17662c20376/41598_2019_41432_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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