Beijing Research Center of Urban Systems Engineering, Beijing 100035, China.
Department of Engineering Physics, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2019 Mar 20;16(6):1014. doi: 10.3390/ijerph16061014.
There is an increasing body of evidence showing the impact of air pollutants on human health such as on the respiratory, and cardio- and cerebrovascular systems. In China, as people begin to pay more attention to air quality, recent research focused on the quantitative assessment of the effects of air pollutants on human health. To assess the health effects of air pollutants and to construct an indicator placing emphasis on health impact, a generalized additive model was selected to assess the health burden caused by air pollution. We obtained Baidu indices (an evaluation indicator launched by Baidu Corporation to reflect the search popularity of keywords from its search engine) to assess daily query frequencies of 25 keywords considered associated with air pollution-related diseases. Moreover, we also calculated the daily concentrations of major air pollutants (including PM, PM, SO₂, O₃, NO₂, and CO) and the daily air quality index (AQI) values, and three meteorological factors: daily mean wind level, daily mean air temperature, and daily mean relative humidity. These data cover the area of Beijing from 1 March 2015 to 30 April 2017. Through the analysis, we produced the relative risks (RRs) of the six main air pollutants for respiratory, and cardio- and cerebrovascular diseases. The results showed that O₃ and NO₂ have the highest health impact, followed by PM and PM. The effects of any pollutant on cardiovascular diseases was consistently higher than on respiratory diseases. Furthermore, we evaluated the currently used AQI in China and proposed an RR-based index (health AQI, HAQI) that is intended for better indicating the effects of air pollutants on respiratory, and cardio- and cerebrovascular diseases than AQI. A higher Pearson correlation coefficient between HAQI and RR than that between AQI and RR endorsed our efforts.
越来越多的证据表明,空气污染物对人类健康有影响,例如对呼吸系统以及心血管和脑血管系统的影响。在中国,随着人们开始更加关注空气质量,最近的研究集中在定量评估空气污染物对人类健康的影响上。为了评估空气污染物的健康影响并构建一个强调健康影响的指标,选择了广义加性模型来评估空气污染对健康造成的负担。我们获得了百度指数(百度公司发布的一个评估指标,用于反映其搜索引擎中与空气污染相关疾病的关键词的搜索热度),以评估 25 个与空气污染相关疾病相关的关键词的每日查询频率。此外,我们还计算了主要空气污染物(包括 PM₁₀、PM₂.₅、SO₂、O₃、NO₂和 CO)的日浓度和每日空气质量指数(AQI)值,以及三个气象因素:每日平均风速、每日平均气温和每日平均相对湿度。这些数据涵盖了 2015 年 3 月 1 日至 2017 年 4 月 30 日期间北京地区的数据。通过分析,我们得出了六种主要空气污染物对呼吸系统、心血管和脑血管疾病的相对风险(RR)。结果表明,O₃和 NO₂的健康影响最大,其次是 PM₁₀和 PM₂.₅。任何污染物对心血管疾病的影响始终高于对呼吸系统疾病的影响。此外,我们评估了中国目前使用的 AQI,并提出了一个基于 RR 的指数(健康 AQI,HAQI),旨在比 AQI 更好地指示空气污染物对呼吸系统、心血管和脑血管疾病的影响。HAQI 与 RR 之间的皮尔逊相关系数高于 AQI 与 RR 之间的相关系数,这证明了我们的努力是有效的。