Medical Practice Evaluation Center, Boston, Massachusetts.
Division of General Internal Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts.
Clin Infect Dis. 2020 Feb 3;70(4):633-642. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciz249.
BACKGROUND: The human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) epidemic in India is concentrated among 3.1 million men who have sex with men (MSM) and 1.1 million people who inject drugs (PWID), with a mean incidence of 0.9-1.4 per 100 person-years. We examined the cost-effectiveness of both preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and HIV testing strategies for MSM and PWID in India. METHODS: We populated an HIV microsimulation model with India-specific data and projected clinical and economic outcomes of 7 strategies for MSM/PWID, including status quo; a 1-time HIV test; routine HIV testing every 3, 6, or 12 months; and PrEP with HIV testing every 3 or 6 months. We used a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$1950, the 2017 Indian per capita gross domestic product, to define cost-effectiveness. RESULTS: HIV testing alone increased life expectancy by 0.07-0.30 years in MSM; PrEP added approximately 0.90 life-years to status quo. Results were similar in PWID. PrEP with 6-month testing was cost-effective for both MSM (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio [ICER], $1000/year of life saved [YLS]) and PWID (ICER, $500/YLS). Results were most sensitive to HIV incidence. PrEP with 6-month testing would increase HIV-related expenditures by US$708 million (MSM) and US$218 million (PWID) over 5 years compared to status quo. CONCLUSIONS: While the World Health Organization recommends PrEP with quarterly HIV testing, our analysis identifies PrEP with semiannual testing as the cost-effective HIV prevention strategy for Indian MSM and PWID. Since nationwide scale-up would require a substantial fiscal investment, areas of highest HIV incidence may be the appropriate initial targets for PrEP scale-up.
背景:印度的人类免疫缺陷病毒(HIV)疫情主要集中在 310 万男男性行为者(MSM)和 110 万注射吸毒者(PWID)中,平均发病率为每 100 人年 0.9-1.4 例。我们研究了在印度为 MSM 和 PWID 实施暴露前预防(PrEP)和 HIV 检测策略的成本效益。
方法:我们使用印度特定数据为 HIV 微观模拟模型提供数据,并预测了 MSM/PWID 七种策略的临床和经济结果,包括现状、一次性 HIV 检测、每 3、6 或 12 个月进行常规 HIV 检测、以及每 3 或 6 个月进行 HIV 检测的 PrEP。我们使用愿意支付的阈值为 1950 美元,即 2017 年印度人均国内生产总值,来定义成本效益。
结果:单独的 HIV 检测使 MSM 的预期寿命延长了 0.07-0.30 年;PrEP 使现状增加了大约 0.90 个生命年。PWID 中的结果相似。对于 MSM(增量成本效益比[ICER],每节省 1 年生命的成本为 1000 美元[YLS])和 PWID(ICER,每节省 1 年生命的成本为 500 美元[YLS]),每 6 个月进行一次检测的 PrEP 具有成本效益。结果对 HIV 发病率最敏感。与现状相比,在 5 年内,每 6 个月进行一次检测的 PrEP 将使 HIV 相关支出增加 7.08 亿美元(MSM)和 2.18 亿美元(PWID)。
结论:虽然世界卫生组织建议每季度进行一次 HIV 检测的 PrEP,但我们的分析确定每 6 个月进行一次检测的 PrEP 是印度 MSM 和 PWID 具有成本效益的 HIV 预防策略。由于全国范围的扩大需要大量的财政投资,因此 HIV 发病率最高的地区可能是 PrEP 扩大的适当初始目标。
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