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2001 - 2018年德国蜱传脑炎(TBE)的流行病学

Epidemiology of Tick-Borne Encephalitis (TBE) in Germany, 2001⁻2018.

作者信息

Hellenbrand Wiebke, Kreusch Teresa, Böhmer Merle M, Wagner-Wiening Christiane, Dobler Gerhard, Wichmann Ole, Altmann Doris

机构信息

Immunization Unit, Robert Koch Institute, Seestraße 10, 13353 Berlin, Germany.

Department for Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Bavarian Health and Food Safety Authority, Veterinaerstr. 2, 85764 Oberschleissheim, Germany.

出版信息

Pathogens. 2019 Mar 29;8(2):42. doi: 10.3390/pathogens8020042.

Abstract

We reviewed tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) surveillance and epidemiology in Germany, as these underlie public health recommendations, foremost vaccination. We performed descriptive analyses of notification data (2001⁻2018, n = 6063) according to region, demographics and clinical manifestations and calculated incidence trends using negative binomial regression. Risk areas were defined based on incidence in administrative districts. Most cases (89%) occurred in the federal states of Baden-Wurttemberg and Bavaria, where annual TBE incidence fluctuated markedly between 0.7⁻2.0 cases/100,000 inhabitants. A slight but significantly increasing temporal trend was observed from 2001⁻2018 (age-adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.02 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.01⁻1.04)), primarily driven by high case numbers in 2017⁻2018. Mean incidence was highest in 40⁻69-year-olds and in males. More males (23.7%) than females (18.0%, = 0.02) had severe disease (encephalitis or myelitis), which increased with age, as did case-fatality (0.4% overall; 2.1% among ≥70-year-olds). Risk areas increased from 129 districts in 2007 to 161 in 2019. Expansion occurred mainly within existent southern endemic areas, with slower contiguous north-eastern and patchy north-western spread. Median vaccination coverage at school entry in risk areas in 2016⁻2017 ranged from 20%⁻41% in 4 states. Increasing TBE vaccine uptake is an urgent priority, particularly in high-incidence risk areas.

摘要

我们回顾了德国蜱传脑炎(TBE)的监测情况及流行病学特征,因为这些是公共卫生建议(首要的是疫苗接种建议)的基础。我们根据地区、人口统计学特征和临床表现对报告数据(2001 - 2018年,n = 6063)进行了描述性分析,并使用负二项回归计算发病率趋势。根据行政区的发病率定义了风险区域。大多数病例(89%)发生在巴登 - 符腾堡州和巴伐利亚州,这两个州的TBE年发病率在每10万居民0.7 - 2.0例之间显著波动。2001 - 2018年观察到轻微但显著上升的时间趋势(年龄调整发病率比(IRR)为1.02(95%置信区间(CI):1.01 - 1.04)),主要由2017 - 2018年的高病例数推动。平均发病率在40 - 69岁人群和男性中最高。患有严重疾病(脑炎或脊髓炎)的男性(23.7%)多于女性(18.0%,P = 0.02),严重疾病的发生率随年龄增加,病死率也是如此(总体为0.4%;≥70岁人群中为2.1%)。风险区域从2007年的129个行政区增加到2019年的161个。扩张主要发生在现有的南部流行地区,向东北的连续扩张较慢,向西北则呈零星扩散。2016 - 2017年风险区域入学时的疫苗接种覆盖率中位数在4个州为20% - 41%。提高TBE疫苗接种率是当务之急,尤其是在高发病率风险地区。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a26c/6630332/6c93fb7ea95b/pathogens-08-00042-g001.jpg

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