Leventhal J M, Shapiro E D, Aten C B, Berg A T, Egerter S A
Pediatrics. 1986 Nov;78(5):896-903.
To determine whether breast-feeding protects infants from infections, a case-control study was conducted. The cases were previously healthy children who were admitted to Yale-New Haven Hospital for an infectious illness at or before 90 days of age. The controls were chosen from the log of births and matched to the cases for five important demographic variables. In addition, logistic regression models were used to adjust the results for other potential confounders. To minimize the potential surveillance bias that might occur if formula-fed and breast-fed infants with the same degree of illness have a different probability of being hospitalized, the case-control pairs were stratified by the severity of the medical condition of the case at the time of hospitalization. For the 281 case-control pairs, the matched odds ratio was .50 (95% confidence interval .32, .77; P less than .005), which indicates that breast-feeding is protective against infections. However, this apparent protective effect was diminished substantially when the data were stratified according to the severity of illness: the matched odds ratio for the 164 infants with serious illnesses was .79 (.47, 1.32; P less than .50), and for the 117 infants with mild illnesses it was .17 (.03, .44; P less than .001). These stratified results suggest that breast-feeding protects infants from hospitalization rather than from infections. Failure to consider the problem of surveillance bias may lead to erroneous conclusions about the protective effect of breast-feeding.
为了确定母乳喂养是否能保护婴儿免受感染,开展了一项病例对照研究。病例为先前健康的90日龄及以下因感染性疾病入住耶鲁-纽黑文医院的儿童。对照从出生记录中选取,并在五个重要人口统计学变量上与病例进行匹配。此外,使用逻辑回归模型对其他潜在混杂因素的结果进行调整。为了尽量减少如果病情相同的配方奶喂养和母乳喂养婴儿住院概率不同可能出现的潜在监测偏倚,病例对照对按住院时病例病情的严重程度进行分层。对于281对病例对照,匹配比值比为0.50(95%置信区间0.32,0.77;P小于0.005),这表明母乳喂养对感染有保护作用。然而,当根据疾病严重程度对数据进行分层时,这种明显的保护作用大幅减弱:164名患有严重疾病的婴儿的匹配比值比为0.79(0.47,1.32;P小于0.50),117名患有轻度疾病的婴儿的匹配比值比为0.17(0.03,0.44;P小于0.001)。这些分层结果表明,母乳喂养保护婴儿免于住院而非免受感染。未考虑监测偏倚问题可能导致关于母乳喂养保护作用的错误结论。