Fu Jianfei, Zhong Chenhan, Wu Lunpo, Li Dan, Xu Tiantian, Jiang Ting, Yang Jiao, Du Jinlin
Department of Oncology, Jinhua Central Hospital, Jinhua, China.
Department of Medical Oncology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou, China.
J Breast Cancer. 2019 Mar;22(1):96-108. doi: 10.4048/jbc.2019.22.e13.
Although it is widely accepted that hormone receptor (HR) status is associated with later post-diagnostic periods, a debate exists as to whether the association is independent of age. The aim of our study was to confirm the impact of HR status on later period breast cancer-specific death (LP-BCSD) and later period non-breast cancer-specific death (LP-non-BCSD) in different age subgroups.
Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results databases were utilized to identify 181,108 breast cancer patients with > 5 years survival. The cumulative incidence of LP-BCSD and LP-non-BCSD was calculated using the Gray method. The subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) of variables was estimated via the Fine and Gray proportional hazard regression model. Subgroup analyses for LP-BCSD and LP-non-BCSD were performed according to the HR status.
The risk of LP-BCSD was exceeded by that of LP-non-BCSD at > 5 years since the diagnosis, particularly in old women. The competing risk regression model indicated that hormone receptor-positive (HR+) was an independent factor for more LP-BCSD (hazard ratio, 1.54; 95% confidence interval, 1.44-1.54; < 0.001). However, stratified analysis indicated that HR+ was only associated with more LP-BCSD in the young women subgroup. Although HR+ was associated with more LP-non-BCSD, the predictive value of HR+ for LP-non-BCSD was eliminated after adjusting for age.
HR+ was related to LP-BCSD in the premenopausal population. LP-BCSD should be an optimal endpoint in future trials designed to evaluate the role of extended adjuvant endocrine therapy.
尽管激素受体(HR)状态与诊断后的后期阶段相关这一观点已被广泛接受,但关于这种关联是否独立于年龄仍存在争议。我们研究的目的是确认HR状态对不同年龄亚组后期乳腺癌特异性死亡(LP-BCSD)和后期非乳腺癌特异性死亡(LP-non-BCSD)的影响。
利用监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库识别出181108例生存时间超过5年的乳腺癌患者。采用Gray法计算LP-BCSD和LP-non-BCSD的累积发病率。通过Fine和Gray比例风险回归模型估计变量的亚分布风险比(SHR)。根据HR状态对LP-BCSD和LP-non-BCSD进行亚组分析。
自诊断后超过5年,LP-non-BCSD的风险超过了LP-BCSD,尤其是在老年女性中。竞争风险回归模型表明,激素受体阳性(HR+)是导致更多LP-BCSD的独立因素(风险比,1.54;95%置信区间,1.44 - 1.54;P < 0.001)。然而,分层分析表明,HR+仅与年轻女性亚组中更多的LP-BCSD相关。尽管HR+与更多的LP-non-BCSD相关,但在调整年龄后,HR+对LP-non-BCSD的预测价值消失。
HR+与绝经前人群的LP-BCSD相关。在未来旨在评估延长辅助内分泌治疗作用的试验中,LP-BCSD应是一个最佳终点。