Keller David P, Lenton Andrew, Littleton Emma W, Oschlies Andreas, Scott Vivian, Vaughan Naomi E
1GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, Düsternbrooker Weg 20, 24105 Kiel, Germany.
CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere, Hobart, Australia.
Curr Clim Change Rep. 2018;4(3):250-265. doi: 10.1007/s40641-018-0104-3. Epub 2018 Jun 14.
Increasing atmospheric CO is having detrimental effects on the Earth system. Societies have recognized that anthropogenic CO release must be rapidly reduced to avoid potentially catastrophic impacts. Achieving this via emissions reductions alone will be very difficult. Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) has been suggested to complement and compensate for insufficient emissions reductions, through increasing natural carbon sinks, engineering new carbon sinks, or combining natural uptake with engineered storage. Here, we review the carbon cycle responses to different CDR approaches and highlight the often-overlooked interaction and feedbacks between carbon reservoirs that ultimately determines CDR efficacy. We also identify future research that will be needed if CDR is to play a role in climate change mitigation, these include coordinated studies to better understand (i) the underlying mechanisms of each method, (ii) how they could be explicitly simulated, (iii) how reversible changes in the climate and carbon cycle are, and (iv) how to evaluate and monitor CDR.
大气中二氧化碳浓度的不断增加正在对地球系统产生有害影响。社会已经认识到,必须迅速减少人为二氧化碳排放,以避免潜在的灾难性影响。仅通过减排来实现这一目标将非常困难。有人建议通过增加自然碳汇、构建新的碳汇或结合自然吸收与工程储存来实现二氧化碳去除(CDR),以补充和弥补减排不足。在此,我们回顾了碳循环对不同CDR方法的响应,并强调了碳库之间常常被忽视的相互作用和反馈,这些相互作用和反馈最终决定了CDR的功效。我们还确定了如果CDR要在缓解气候变化中发挥作用所需的未来研究方向,这些研究包括协调研究,以更好地理解:(i)每种方法的潜在机制;(ii)如何对它们进行明确模拟;(iii)气候和碳循环的可逆变化程度;(iv)如何评估和监测CDR。