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考虑影响因素贡献的 IVM、ANN 和 SVM 模型在矿山滑坡易发性评估中的应用。

Mine landslide susceptibility assessment using IVM, ANN and SVM models considering the contribution of affecting factors.

机构信息

Faculty Information Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, China.

Institute of Geological Environment Monitoring, China Geological Survey, Beijing, China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2019 Apr 11;14(4):e0215134. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0215134. eCollection 2019.

Abstract

The fragile ecological environment near mines provide advantageous conditions for the development of landslides. Mine landslide susceptibility mapping is of great importance for mine geo-environment control and restoration planning. In this paper, a total of 493 landslides in Shangli County, China were collected through historical landslide inventory. 16 spectral, geomorphic and hydrological predictive factors, mainly derived from Landsat 8 imagery and Global Digital Elevation Model (ASTER GDEM), were prepared initially for landslide susceptibility assessment. Predictive capability of these factors was evaluated by using the value of variance inflation factor and information gain ratio. Three models, namely artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machine (SVM) and information value model (IVM), were applied to assess the mine landslide sensitivity. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and rank probability score were used to validate and compare the comprehensive predictive capabilities of three models involving uncertainty. Results showed that ANN model achieved higher prediction capability, proving its advantage of solve nonlinear and complex problems. Comparing the estimated landslide susceptibility map with the ground-truth one, the high-prone area tends to be located in the middle area with multiple fault distributions and the steeply sloped hill.

摘要

矿区附近脆弱的生态环境为滑坡的发育提供了有利条件。矿山滑坡易发性图的编制对矿山地质环境的控制和恢复规划具有重要意义。本文通过历史滑坡编目收集了中国上栗县的 493 个滑坡。初步准备了 16 个光谱、地貌和水文预测因子,主要来自 Landsat 8 图像和全球数字高程模型(ASTER GDEM),用于滑坡易发性评估。通过方差膨胀因子和信息增益比的值评估了这些因素的预测能力。应用了人工神经网络(ANN)、支持向量机(SVM)和信息值模型(IVM)三种模型来评估矿山滑坡的敏感性。采用接收者操作特征曲线(ROC)和秩概率得分来验证和比较三种模型的综合预测能力,包括不确定性。结果表明,ANN 模型具有更高的预测能力,证明了其解决非线性和复杂问题的优势。将估计的滑坡易发性图与地面实况图进行比较,高易发性区域倾向于位于具有多个断层分布和陡峭山坡的中间区域。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/59a3/6459520/ec1a81fc8c79/pone.0215134.g001.jpg

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