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煤矿采空区的医疗保健和滑坡敏感性评估的统计预测模型。

A Statistical Prediction Model for Healthcare and Landslide Sensitivity Evaluation in Coal Mining Subsidence Area.

机构信息

School of Mining Engineering, Taiyuan University of Technology, Taiyuan 030024, China.

出版信息

Comput Intell Neurosci. 2022 May 14;2022:1805689. doi: 10.1155/2022/1805689. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to compare the results of the frequency ratio (FR) model with the weight of evidence (WOE) and the logical regression (LR) methods when applied to the landslide susceptibility evaluation in coal mining subsidence areas. Key geological disaster prevention and control areas are taken as the research areas. Field investigation is carried out according to the recorded landslide disaster points in the past five years, and 86 landslide disaster points are determined from the remote sensing satellite images. Furthermore, 12 factors affecting the occurrence of landslide are selected as landslide sensitivity evaluation factors. Among them, slope degree, curvature, elevation, and slope aspect are derived using the digital elevation model (DEM) through 30 m × 30 m resolution. The DEM datasets are derived from the geospatial data cloud, lithology datasets are derived from the geological lithology maps, and land use type map is derived from the current situation of national land use. The distances between roads and coal mining subsidence areas are calculated according to field investigation and remote sensing image interpretation results. In addition, the evaluation model includes an annual rainfall distribution map. Finally, the accuracy of three models is compared by ROC curve analysis. The elevation results demonstrate that the frequency ratio-logic regression (FR-LR) model takes the maximum accurateness of 0.913, subsequent to the FR model and the frequency ratio-weight of evidence (FR-WOE) model, respectively. Thus, using LR method based on the FR model has guiding significance for predicting the landslide sensitivity in coal mining. This reduces probable risks and disasters that affect human health. Subsequently, this ensures higher safety from the healthcare perspective in the mining fields.

摘要

本研究旨在比较频率比(FR)模型、证据权重(WOE)和逻辑回归(LR)方法在煤矿采空区滑坡易发性评价中的结果。选取重点地质灾害防治区作为研究区,根据近五年滑坡灾害点的记录进行野外调查,从遥感卫星图像中确定了 86 个滑坡灾害点。此外,选取了 12 个影响滑坡发生的因素作为滑坡敏感性评价因素。其中,坡度、曲率、高程和边坡方位角是利用数字高程模型(DEM)通过 30m×30m 的分辨率得出的。DEM 数据集来源于地理空间数据云,岩性数据集来源于地质岩性图,土地利用类型图来源于全国土地利用现状。道路与采煤沉陷区的距离是根据野外调查和遥感图像解译结果计算得出的。此外,评价模型还包括年降雨量分布图。最后,通过 ROC 曲线分析比较了三个模型的精度。高程结果表明,频率比-逻辑回归(FR-LR)模型的准确率最高,为 0.913,其次是 FR 模型和频率比-证据权重(FR-WOE)模型。因此,基于 FR 模型的 LR 方法对预测煤矿采空区滑坡敏感性具有指导意义。这降低了影响人类健康的潜在风险和灾害。从医疗保健的角度来看,这确保了矿区更高的安全性。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/56eb/9124098/3226d41d9831/CIN2022-1805689.001.jpg

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