Junkka Johan
Department of Historical, Philosophical and Religious Studies, and Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research, Umeå University, 901 87 Umeå, Sweden.
Eur J Popul. 2018 Jan 15;34(5):819-848. doi: 10.1007/s10680-018-9465-5. eCollection 2018 Dec.
This study investigates the role of changing social relations for fertility decline during the European fertility transition. The growth of voluntary associations at the end of the nineteenth century entailed a radical shift in the landscape of social relations in Sweden. By combining micro-census data from 1890 to 1900 with local-level membership data for three voluntary association groups, this article assesses the effect of parish-level voluntary association size on net fertility in Sweden using mixed-effects Poisson regression models. The results show that the adoption of fertility limitation during the transition period was associated with the creation and diffusion of the idea of respectability within large social network organisations, an idea that has previously been shown to be connected to fertility limitation. Furthermore, by applying a social network perspective, the results show that the strength of the effect was dependent on the structure of the social networks in terms of size, density, and homogeneity. Voluntary association size had the strongest effect for the free churches, which created dense heterogeneous networks through systems of social control, while the size of the temperance association showed no effect on fertility because the connections between nodes were sparse.
本研究探讨了在欧洲生育率转变过程中,社会关系变化对生育率下降所起的作用。19世纪末志愿社团的发展使瑞典社会关系格局发生了根本性转变。通过将1890年至1900年的微观人口普查数据与三个志愿社团群体的地方层面成员数据相结合,本文使用混合效应泊松回归模型评估了教区层面志愿社团规模对瑞典净生育率的影响。结果表明,转型期生育限制的采用与在大型社会网络组织中体面观念的产生和传播有关,此前已有研究表明这种观念与生育限制相关。此外,从社会网络视角来看,结果显示这种影响的强度取决于社会网络在规模、密度和同质性方面的结构。志愿社团规模对自由教会的影响最强,自由教会通过社会控制体系创建了密集的异质网络,而禁酒协会的规模对生育率没有影响,因为节点之间的联系很稀疏。