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将加拿大罪责评分工具改编为艾伯塔省警方交通碰撞报告数据。

Adaptation of a Canadian culpability scoring tool to Alberta police traffic collision report data.

机构信息

a Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine , University of Calgary , Calgary , Alberta , Canada.

b Department of Paediatrics, Cumming School of Medicine , University of Calgary , Calgary , Alberta , Canada.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2019;20(3):270-275. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2019.1567916. Epub 2019 Apr 15.

Abstract

The objective of this study was to adapt a previously validated Canadian Culpability Scoring Tool (CCST) to Alberta police report data. Police traffic collision reports from motor vehicle (MV) collisions in Calgary and Edmonton (Alberta, Canada) from 2010 to 2014 were used. Adaptation of the CCST was completed with input from personnel within Alberta Transportation, contributing to face and content validity. Two research assistants, given only the information necessary for scoring, evaluated 175 randomly selected MV-MV collisions. Interrater agreement was estimated using kappa (k) and reported with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Discussion of disagreements between the research assistants and consultation from Alberta Transportation informed the algorithm used in the Alberta Motor Vehicle Collision Culpability Tool (AMVCCT). The AMVCCT was automated and applied to all motorists involved in collisions. Binary logistic regression was used to examine characteristics of the culpable and nonculpable drivers and their effects were reported using odds ratios (ORs) with 95% CIs. Interrater agreement for the random sample was excellent (k = 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99). Of those drivers hospitalized, 1,130 (37.54%) were rated not culpable and 1,880 (62.46%) were rated culpable. The odds of being culpable were higher for males than for females (OR = 1.43; 95% CI, 1.23-1.66). The odds of being culpable were higher in those impaired by alcohol than those considered "apparently normal" (OR = 61.10; 95% CI, 22.66-164.75). The odds of being deemed culpable, when compared with drivers >54 years old, were higher for those <25 years old (OR = 1.72; 95% CI, 1.35-2.20) and lower for those in the 40- to 54-year-old age group (OR = 0.78; 95% CI, 0.63-0.96). Driving between 12 a.m. and 6 a.m. resulted in higher odds of being culpable compare with all other 6-h time blocks. Direction and statistical significance remained consistent when applying the tool to all MV collisions. Sensitivity analysis including the removal of single vehicle collisions did not affect the direction or statistical significance of the main results. The AMVCCT identified a culpable group that exhibited characteristics expected in drivers who are at fault in collisions. The age groups 25-39 and 40-54 demonstrated different results than the CCST. However, this is the only difference that exists in the findings of the AMVCCT compared to the CCST and could exist due to differences between the driving populations in Alberta and British Columbia. It is possible to adapt the CCST to provinces outside British Columbia and, in doing so, we can identify risk factors for collision contribution and not-at-fault drivers who represent the driving population.

摘要

本研究的目的是将先前验证过的加拿大罪责评分工具(CCST)应用于艾伯塔省的警察报告数据。 2010 年至 2014 年,从卡尔加里和埃德蒙顿(加拿大艾伯塔省)的机动车(MV)碰撞的警察交通碰撞报告中获取数据。通过艾伯塔省交通部门的人员参与,完成了 CCST 的改编,有助于提高其表面效度和内容效度。两名研究助理仅根据评分所需的信息对 175 个随机选择的 MV-MV 碰撞进行了评估。使用kappa(k)估计了两个研究助理之间的评分一致性,并在 95%置信区间(CI)内报告。研究助理之间的分歧讨论以及艾伯塔省交通部门的咨询意见为艾伯塔省机动车碰撞罪责工具(AMVCCT)中使用的算法提供了信息。AMVCCT 是自动化的,并应用于所有参与碰撞的驾驶员。使用二元逻辑回归检查有过错和无过错驾驶员的特征,并使用优势比(OR)及其 95%置信区间(CI)报告其影响。对随机样本的评分一致性非常好(k=0.95;95%CI,0.92-0.99)。在住院的驾驶员中,有 1,130 人(37.54%)被判无过错,有 1,880 人(62.46%)被判有过错。与女性相比,男性被判有过错的可能性更高(OR=1.43;95%CI,1.23-1.66)。与被认为“明显正常”的驾驶员相比,因酒精而受损的驾驶员被判有过错的可能性更高(OR=61.10;95%CI,22.66-164.75)。与 54 岁以上的驾驶员相比,年龄小于 25 岁的驾驶员被判有过错的可能性更高(OR=1.72;95%CI,1.35-2.20),而 40-54 岁的驾驶员被判有过错的可能性更低(OR=0.78;95%CI,0.63-0.96)。与所有其他 6 小时时间段相比,在凌晨 12 点到早上 6 点之间驾驶的驾驶员被判有过错的可能性更高。当将该工具应用于所有 MV 碰撞时,方向和统计学意义保持一致。包括删除单辆车碰撞的敏感性分析并没有影响主要结果的方向或统计学意义。AMVCCT 确定了一个有过错的群体,该群体表现出了在碰撞中应承担责任的驾驶员的特征。25-39 岁和 40-54 岁这两个年龄段的结果与 CCST 不同。然而,这是 AMVCCT 与 CCST 之间唯一的差异,这可能是由于艾伯塔省和不列颠哥伦比亚省的驾驶人群体之间的差异造成的。可以将 CCST 应用于不列颠哥伦比亚省以外的省份,并且通过这样做,我们可以确定对碰撞有贡献的风险因素和不承担责任的驾驶员,他们代表了驾驶人群体。

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