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识别与新手青少年驾驶员在机动车事故中过失相关的可修正因素。

Identifying modifiable factors related to novice adolescent driver fault in motor vehicle collisions.

机构信息

Department of Paediatrics, University of Calgary, Calgary, Canada.

Department of Surgery & Health Policy, Management & Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2021;22(6):437-442. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2021.1923700. Epub 2021 Jun 7.

DOI:10.1080/15389588.2021.1923700
PMID:34097541
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Novice adolescent drivers have a higher propensity to engage in risky driving and are at higher odds of being involved in collisions. Graduated driver licensing programs have been instituted to help novice drivers gain experience while avoiding higher risk driving circumstances. This study examines modifiable risk factors contributing to novice adolescent driver fault in collisions.

METHODS

Police traffic collision report data from municipalities in Alberta for the years 2010-2016, inclusive, were used. Fault in collision was assigned using an automated and previously validated tool for assigning culpability. Factors contributing to novice adolescent (16-19 years of age) fault in collision were examined using multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Novice adolescent drivers had higher adjusted odds ratios (aOR) of being at-fault in collision when driving from 01:00-05:00 (aOR = 1.38; 95% Confidence Interval [CI]: 1.26-1.50). Novice adolescent drivers had lower odds of fault when driving with an adult (aOR= 0.62; 95% CI: 0.57-0.68) or a single peer (aOR= 0.87; 95% CI: 0.80-0.94), but higher odds of causing a severe collision with a single peer present (aOR= 2.23; 95% CI: 1.21-4.11). Impairment of the teen driver was reported in 25% of all fatal collisions, and 40% of late-night fatal collisions.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings support policies that allow driving with a single adult or peer passenger during daytime hours. Driving during late-night hours should be restricted for novice adolescent drivers.

摘要

目的

新手青少年驾驶员更倾向于进行高风险驾驶,且发生碰撞事故的可能性更高。实施分级驾照制度是为了帮助新手驾驶员获得经验,同时避免高风险的驾驶环境。本研究探讨了导致新手青少年驾驶员在碰撞事故中犯错的可修正风险因素。

方法

使用了艾伯塔省各城市 2010 年至 2016 年期间的警方交通碰撞报告数据。使用自动且经过验证的工具来分配责任,确定碰撞事故中的过错方。使用多变量逻辑回归分析了导致新手青少年(16-19 岁)在碰撞事故中犯错的因素。

结果

在凌晨 1 点至 5 点之间驾驶时,新手青少年驾驶员发生碰撞事故的调整后优势比(aOR)更高(aOR=1.38;95%置信区间[CI]:1.26-1.50)。当与成年人(aOR=0.62;95% CI:0.57-0.68)或单一同伴(aOR=0.87;95% CI:0.80-0.94)一起驾驶时,新手青少年驾驶员发生碰撞事故的可能性较低,但当单一同伴在场时,发生严重碰撞事故的可能性更高(aOR=2.23;95% CI:1.21-4.11)。在所有致命碰撞事故中,有 25%报告了青少年驾驶员的损伤,而在深夜致命碰撞事故中,这一比例为 40%。

结论

这些发现支持了允许在白天与单一成年或同伴乘客一起驾驶的政策。应限制新手青少年驾驶员在深夜时段驾驶。

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