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研究用于大规模水文建模的区域化技术。

Investigating regionalization techniques for large-scale hydrological modelling.

作者信息

Pagliero Liliana, Bouraoui Fayçal, Diels Jan, Willems Patrick, McIntyre Neil

机构信息

Institute for Environment and Sustainability, Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Ispra I-21027, Italy.

Dept. Civil Engineering, Hydraulics Section, KU Leuven, Leuven B-3001, Belgium.

出版信息

J Hydrol (Amst). 2019 Mar;570:220-235. doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.12.071.

Abstract

This work investigates regionalization techniques for large-scale model applications in the frame of a pan-European assessment of water resources covering approx. 740,000 km in Western Europe. Using the SWAT platform, four variants of the similarity based regionalization approach were compared. The first two involved unsupervised clustering to define hydrological regions before performing hydrological model calibration, whereas the last two involved supervised clustering after performing calibration. Similarity is defined using Partial Least Squares Regression (PLSR) analysis that identifies watershed physiographic characteristics that are most relevant for the selected hydrological response indices. The PLSR results indicate that typically available watershed characteristics such as geomorphology, land-use, climate, and soil properties describe reasonably well the average hydrological conditions but poorly the extreme events. Regionalization variants considering unsupervised clustering and supervised clustering performed similarly well when using all available information. However, results indicate that supervised clustering uses data more efficiently and may be more suitable when data are scarce. It is demonstrated that parsimonious use of available data can be achieved using both regionalization techniques. Finally, model performance consistently becomes acceptable by calibrating watersheds covering only 10% of the model domain, thus, making the calibration task affordable in terms of time and computational resources required.

摘要

这项工作在对西欧约740,000平方公里水资源进行泛欧评估的框架内,研究了大规模模型应用的区域化技术。使用SWAT平台,对基于相似性的区域化方法的四种变体进行了比较。前两种方法在进行水文模型校准之前,通过无监督聚类来定义水文区域,而后两种方法在校准之后进行监督聚类。相似性是使用偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)分析来定义的,该分析确定了与所选水文响应指标最相关的流域地貌特征。PLSR结果表明,通常可用的流域特征,如地貌、土地利用、气候和土壤特性,能够较好地描述平均水文条件,但对极端事件的描述较差。在使用所有可用信息时,考虑无监督聚类和监督聚类的区域化变体表现相似。然而,结果表明,监督聚类能更有效地利用数据,在数据稀缺时可能更适用。结果表明,使用这两种区域化技术都可以实现对可用数据的简约使用。最后,通过校准仅覆盖模型域10%的流域,模型性能始终能够达到可接受的水平,因此,在校准所需的时间和计算资源方面,使校准任务变得可行。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f73b/6472599/5f9006f7e501/gr1.jpg

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